Supplement Tables
to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003
Table 46. Light-Duty Vehicle Stock by Technology Type
(Millions)
| 2001- |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2025 |
|
| Light-Duty Car Stock 1/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gasoline ICE Vehicles | 126.28 |
127.34 |
127.89 |
128.26 |
128.31 |
127.86 |
127.44 |
126.95 |
126.12 |
125.41 |
124.94 |
124.43 |
124.04 |
123.75 |
123.56 |
123.55 |
123.71 |
123.71 |
123.68 |
123.72 |
123.67 |
123.51 |
123.40 |
123.28 |
123.27 |
123.23 |
-0.1% |
| TDI Diesel ICE | 0.58 |
0.53 |
0.48 |
0.44 |
0.41 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.34 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
-1.7% |
| Total Conventional | 126.87 |
127.87 |
128.37 |
128.70 |
128.72 |
128.24 |
127.79 |
127.29 |
126.45 |
125.72 |
125.25 |
124.74 |
124.34 |
124.04 |
123.86 |
123.85 |
124.01 |
124.01 |
123.98 |
124.04 |
123.98 |
123.83 |
123.72 |
123.61 |
123.61 |
123.57 |
-0.1% |
| Alternative-Fuel Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Alcohol Fuel Technology | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-10.5% |
| Methanol ICE | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
4.2% |
| Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 0.77 |
1.25 |
1.71 |
2.16 |
2.60 |
3.00 |
3.40 |
3.79 |
4.16 |
4.51 |
4.85 |
5.18 |
5.48 |
5.76 |
6.03 |
6.28 |
6.52 |
6.73 |
6.91 |
7.08 |
7.22 |
7.33 |
7.43 |
7.52 |
7.60 |
7.67 |
7.8% |
| Ethanol ICE | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
9.5% |
| Natural Gas Technology | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Compressed Natural Gas ICE | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.2% |
| Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel | 0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.16 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
7.6% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE | 0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
6.0% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel | 0.01 |
0.06 |
0.10 |
0.15 |
0.19 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.32 |
0.35 |
0.38 |
0.41 |
0.43 |
0.45 |
0.47 |
0.49 |
0.51 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
0.55 |
0.56 |
0.57 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
0.59 |
0.59 |
10.1% |
| Electric Technology | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric Vehicle | 0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.18 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
0.32 |
0.37 |
0.42 |
0.47 |
0.51 |
0.55 |
20.4% |
| Electric-Diesel Hybrid | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.04 |
0.07 |
0.10 |
0.14 |
0.18 |
0.22 |
0.26 |
0.31 |
0.36 |
0.41 |
0.47 |
0.53 |
0.59 |
0.66 |
0.72 |
0.77 |
0.83 |
0.89 |
0.94 |
24.9% |
| Electric-Gasoline Hybrid | 0.04 |
0.12 |
0.23 |
0.39 |
0.65 |
0.90 |
1.21 |
1.69 |
2.41 |
3.07 |
3.76 |
4.55 |
5.25 |
5.94 |
6.73 |
7.52 |
8.19 |
8.94 |
9.66 |
10.33 |
11.00 |
11.63 |
12.21 |
12.74 |
13.23 |
13.66 |
21.9% |
| Fuel Cell Technology | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fuel Cell Gasoline | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Methanol | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Hydrogen | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
N/A |
| Total Alternatives | 0.85 |
1.49 |
2.12 |
2.80 |
3.55 |
4.26 |
5.02 |
5.95 |
7.11 |
8.20 |
9.30 |
10.50 |
11.58 |
12.64 |
13.81 |
14.96 |
15.96 |
17.05 |
18.06 |
19.02 |
19.97 |
20.84 |
21.65 |
22.37 |
23.06 |
23.66 |
12.2% |
| Total Car Stock | 127.72 |
129.36 |
130.48 |
131.50 |
132.27 |
132.49 |
132.81 |
133.23 |
133.56 |
133.92 |
134.55 |
135.24 |
135.93 |
136.69 |
137.66 |
138.80 |
139.96 |
141.06 |
142.05 |
143.05 |
143.96 |
144.68 |
145.37 |
145.98 |
146.67 |
147.24 |
0.5% |
| Light-Duty Truck Stock 1/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gasoline ICE Vehicles | 61.31 |
65.05 |
68.46 |
71.87 |
75.13 |
78.05 |
80.95 |
83.85 |
86.46 |
89.01 |
91.65 |
94.18 |
96.59 |
98.92 |
101.22 |
103.52 |
105.74 |
107.71 |
109.49 |
111.18 |
112.66 |
113.93 |
115.10 |
116.13 |
117.15 |
117.99 |
2.5% |
| TDI Diesel ICE | 1.33 |
1.85 |
2.33 |
2.86 |
3.40 |
3.93 |
4.46 |
4.93 |
5.41 |
5.87 |
6.32 |
6.73 |
7.12 |
7.49 |
7.87 |
8.22 |
8.56 |
8.89 |
9.20 |
9.49 |
9.76 |
9.98 |
10.18 |
10.36 |
10.55 |
10.75 |
7.6% |
| Total Conventional | 62.64 |
66.89 |
70.79 |
74.73 |
78.53 |
81.98 |
85.41 |
88.78 |
91.86 |
94.87 |
97.97 |
100.91 |
103.71 |
106.41 |
109.10 |
111.75 |
114.30 |
116.61 |
118.69 |
120.67 |
122.42 |
123.91 |
125.28 |
126.49 |
127.70 |
128.74 |
2.8% |
| Alternative-Fuel Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Alcohol Fuel Technology | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-7.2% |
| Methanol ICE | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
4.8% |
| Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 0.85 |
1.42 |
1.96 |
2.51 |
3.06 |
3.57 |
4.09 |
4.61 |
5.11 |
5.59 |
6.09 |
6.56 |
7.02 |
7.45 |
7.88 |
8.30 |
8.70 |
9.06 |
9.39 |
9.70 |
9.98 |
10.21 |
10.43 |
10.62 |
10.81 |
10.97 |
8.9% |
| Ethanol ICE | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
9.7% |
| Natural Gas Technology | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Compressed Natural Gas ICE | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.8% |
| Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel | 0.06 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.14 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
0.23 |
0.25 |
0.28 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.36 |
0.38 |
0.40 |
0.43 |
0.45 |
0.47 |
0.49 |
0.50 |
0.52 |
0.53 |
0.54 |
0.55 |
0.56 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
8.3% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE | 0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
6.6% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel | 0.09 |
0.19 |
0.28 |
0.38 |
0.48 |
0.57 |
0.67 |
0.76 |
0.86 |
0.95 |
1.04 |
1.12 |
1.21 |
1.29 |
1.36 |
1.44 |
1.51 |
1.57 |
1.63 |
1.69 |
1.74 |
1.78 |
1.82 |
1.85 |
1.89 |
1.91 |
10.2% |
| Electric Technology | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Electric Vehicle | 0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.07 |
0.08 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
13.2% |
| Electric-Diesel Hybrid | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.04 |
0.05 |
0.06 |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.11 |
0.13 |
0.15 |
0.17 |
0.19 |
0.21 |
0.24 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.33 |
0.35 |
22.7% |
| Electric-Gasoline Hybrid | 0.02 |
0.06 |
0.12 |
0.23 |
0.39 |
0.55 |
0.75 |
1.05 |
1.45 |
1.83 |
2.23 |
2.66 |
3.07 |
3.48 |
3.92 |
4.37 |
4.78 |
5.22 |
5.63 |
6.03 |
6.43 |
6.81 |
7.16 |
7.48 |
7.79 |
8.07 |
22.3% |
| Fuel Cell Technology | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fuel Cell Gasoline | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Methanol | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Hydrogen | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.02 |
N/A |
| Total Alternatives | 1.03 |
1.77 |
2.50 |
3.29 |
4.13 |
4.94 |
5.80 |
6.75 |
7.80 |
8.81 |
9.85 |
10.90 |
11.90 |
12.87 |
13.87 |
14.86 |
15.77 |
16.69 |
17.53 |
18.33 |
19.10 |
19.79 |
20.44 |
21.02 |
21.58 |
22.08 |
11.1% |
| Total Truck Stock | 63.68 |
68.66 |
73.30 |
78.03 |
82.67 |
86.92 |
91.21 |
95.53 |
99.66 |
103.69 |
107.82 |
111.81 |
115.61 |
119.28 |
122.96 |
126.61 |
130.07 |
133.29 |
136.22 |
139.01 |
141.53 |
143.70 |
145.71 |
147.52 |
149.28 |
150.81 |
3.3% |
| Total Vehicle Stock | 191.40 |
198.02 |
203.78 |
209.53 |
214.94 |
219.41 |
224.02 |
228.77 |
233.22 |
237.60 |
242.37 |
247.05 |
251.53 |
255.97 |
260.63 |
265.41 |
270.04 |
274.35 |
278.27 |
282.06 |
285.48 |
288.38 |
291.08 |
293.50 |
295.95 |
298.05 |
1.7% |
| 1/ Includes
personal and fleet vehicles. ICE = Internal combustion engine. N/A = Not applicable. Sources: 2001 derived using: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Household Vehicles Energy Consumption 1994, DOE/EIA-0464(94) (Washington, DC, August 1997); EIA,Describing Current and Potential Markets for Alternative-Fuel Vehicles, DOE/EIA-0604(96) (Washington, DC, March 1996); EIA, Alternatives to Traditional Transportation Fuels 1998,http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alt_trans98/table1.html; Federal Highway Administration, Highway Statistics 2000 (Washington, DC, November 2001); Oak Ridge National Laboratory,Transportation Energy Data Book: 21 (Oak Ridge, TN, September 2001); and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. Projections: EIA, AEO2003National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. |
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