Supplement Tables
to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003
Table 44. Light-Duty Vehicle Sales by Technology Type
(Thousands)
Pacific
| 2001- |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2025 |
|
| New Car Sales 1/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gasoline ICE Vehicles | 1379.8 |
1302.6 |
1260.0 |
1272.2 |
1250.0 |
1197.2 |
1212.1 |
1120.6 |
992.1 |
998.8 |
1033.7 |
1023.5 |
1025.2 |
1038.6 |
1048.5 |
1067.6 |
1077.8 |
1036.0 |
1027.0 |
1039.8 |
989.2 |
973.8 |
983.5 |
987.6 |
1004.2 |
1004.9 |
-1.1% |
| TDI Diesel ICE | 3.0 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
2.4% |
| Total Conventional | 1382.8 |
1305.7 |
1262.7 |
1275.0 |
1253.2 |
1200.3 |
1215.0 |
1123.6 |
995.4 |
1002.2 |
1037.2 |
1026.9 |
1028.6 |
1042.1 |
1052.3 |
1071.2 |
1081.4 |
1040.1 |
1031.3 |
1044.3 |
993.8 |
978.1 |
987.9 |
992.3 |
1009.3 |
1010.4 |
-1.1% |
| Alternative-Fuel Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.4% |
| Methanol ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-5.9% |
| Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 33.4 |
77.8 |
74.5 |
75.0 |
73.6 |
69.6 |
71.0 |
72.7 |
72.0 |
72.8 |
76.1 |
76.8 |
76.9 |
78.0 |
80.5 |
82.6 |
83.2 |
82.9 |
82.2 |
83.1 |
82.5 |
81.3 |
81.8 |
81.7 |
83.3 |
82.6 |
0.3% |
| Ethanol ICE | 0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
1.3% |
| Electric Vehicle | 0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
4.4 |
7.6 |
9.2 |
14.4 |
16.6 |
16.8 |
25.1 |
25.8 |
24.7 |
34.4 |
34.7 |
33.1 |
32.6 |
32.3 |
31.0 |
19.9% |
| Electric-Diesel Hybrid | 0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
13.7 |
14.5 |
15.7 |
17.4 |
17.5 |
18.1 |
22.0 |
21.7 |
21.7 |
28.1 |
29.4 |
30.1 |
35.4 |
33.3 |
33.1 |
33.2 |
35.8 |
35.5 |
21.1% |
| Electric-Gasoline Hybrid | 6.0 |
13.3 |
17.8 |
26.7 |
42.0 |
41.3 |
51.0 |
168.4 |
282.0 |
286.9 |
297.3 |
314.2 |
314.2 |
315.3 |
334.8 |
344.4 |
343.9 |
370.0 |
369.0 |
369.8 |
400.0 |
401.4 |
401.6 |
397.6 |
402.3 |
395.8 |
15.2% |
| Compressed Natural Gas ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1% |
| Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel | 2.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
-0.3% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE | 0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
11.4% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel | 6.8 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
-0.4% |
| Fuel Cell Gasoline | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Methanol | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Hydrogen | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
N/A |
| Total Alternatives | 49.3 |
101.8 |
102.6 |
112.0 |
126.0 |
121.1 |
132.5 |
255.4 |
377.5 |
384.4 |
400.1 |
421.9 |
425.5 |
430.3 |
461.8 |
475.7 |
476.4 |
516.9 |
517.6 |
519.3 |
563.9 |
562.4 |
561.9 |
557.4 |
566.7 |
558.4 |
7.3% |
| Percent Alternative Car Sales | 3.44 |
7.23 |
7.52 |
8.07 |
9.14 |
9.16 |
9.83 |
18.52 |
27.50 |
27.72 |
27.84 |
29.12 |
29.26 |
29.22 |
30.50 |
30.75 |
30.58 |
33.20 |
33.42 |
33.21 |
36.20 |
36.51 |
36.26 |
35.97 |
35.96 |
35.60 |
6.9% |
| Total New Car Sales | 1432.1 |
1407.5 |
1365.3 |
1387.0 |
1379.3 |
1321.4 |
1347.5 |
1379.0 |
1372.9 |
1386.5 |
1437.3 |
1448.8 |
1454.2 |
1472.4 |
1514.0 |
1546.9 |
1557.8 |
1557.0 |
1548.9 |
1563.5 |
1557.6 |
1540.5 |
1549.8 |
1549.7 |
1576.0 |
1568.8 |
0.5% |
| New Light Truck Sales 2/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gasoline ICE Vehicles | 1118.3 |
997.0 |
982.6 |
1008.9 |
992.6 |
964.7 |
996.3 |
984.8 |
921.3 |
935.5 |
981.8 |
992.2 |
1005.2 |
1026.3 |
1046.7 |
1081.8 |
1093.5 |
1066.0 |
1055.4 |
1065.9 |
1046.6 |
1040.7 |
1047.5 |
1044.8 |
1057.6 |
1050.0 |
0.2% |
| TDI Diesel ICE | 62.1 |
109.0 |
91.4 |
97.4 |
119.6 |
114.2 |
108.2 |
109.5 |
120.1 |
122.4 |
122.6 |
118.1 |
116.0 |
116.4 |
125.2 |
115.9 |
117.0 |
130.9 |
138.2 |
141.8 |
139.3 |
129.2 |
129.2 |
133.6 |
140.9 |
144.0 |
1.2% |
| Total Conventional | 1180.4 |
1106.0 |
1074.0 |
1106.3 |
1112.2 |
1079.0 |
1104.6 |
1094.2 |
1041.4 |
1057.8 |
1104.4 |
1110.3 |
1121.2 |
1142.6 |
1171.9 |
1197.7 |
1210.5 |
1196.9 |
1193.6 |
1207.7 |
1185.8 |
1169.9 |
1176.8 |
1178.4 |
1198.4 |
1194.0 |
0.3% |
| Alternative-Fuel Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.0% |
| Methanol ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-1.5% |
| Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 37.7 |
89.5 |
87.4 |
91.0 |
89.2 |
86.0 |
90.3 |
93.4 |
92.7 |
94.4 |
99.9 |
101.9 |
103.0 |
105.1 |
108.8 |
113.1 |
114.3 |
113.3 |
111.9 |
113.1 |
112.7 |
111.8 |
112.7 |
112.2 |
114.2 |
113.1 |
1.0% |
| Ethanol ICE | 0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
5.1% |
| Electric Vehicle | 0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
5.4 |
6.2 |
8.0 |
7.6 |
8.6 |
6.2 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.4% |
| Electric-Diesel Hybrid | 0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
9.5 |
9.9 |
10.2 |
12.0 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
11.3 |
12.2 |
12.4 |
18.4% |
| Electric-Gasoline Hybrid | 3.6 |
6.8 |
9.8 |
16.4 |
26.2 |
26.3 |
34.1 |
80.7 |
136.6 |
138.7 |
143.1 |
152.1 |
153.8 |
155.1 |
166.6 |
173.2 |
173.6 |
188.2 |
187.0 |
187.5 |
204.1 |
204.8 |
205.7 |
203.9 |
206.1 |
203.7 |
15.2% |
| Compressed Natural Gas ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-5.7% |
| Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel | 4.3 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
1.0% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE | 0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
12.0% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel | 14.1 |
16.1 |
15.6 |
16.2 |
16.4 |
15.9 |
16.5 |
17.0 |
17.1 |
17.4 |
18.2 |
18.4 |
18.6 |
18.9 |
19.5 |
19.9 |
20.1 |
20.2 |
20.1 |
20.3 |
20.3 |
20.1 |
20.2 |
20.2 |
20.5 |
20.4 |
1.0% |
| Fuel Cell Gasoline | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Methanol | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Hydrogen | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
N/A |
| Total Alternatives | 60.8 |
118.3 |
118.6 |
129.8 |
138.2 |
136.5 |
150.4 |
203.6 |
262.3 |
268.8 |
279.8 |
292.6 |
293.6 |
295.6 |
312.1 |
322.9 |
324.6 |
340.6 |
338.6 |
341.4 |
359.4 |
358.3 |
360.7 |
358.9 |
365.0 |
362.3 |
4.8% |
| Percent Alternative Light Truck Sales | 4.90 |
9.66 |
9.95 |
10.50 |
11.05 |
11.23 |
11.98 |
15.69 |
20.12 |
20.26 |
20.21 |
20.86 |
20.75 |
20.55 |
21.03 |
21.23 |
21.15 |
22.15 |
22.10 |
22.04 |
23.26 |
23.45 |
23.46 |
23.35 |
23.35 |
23.28 |
3.7% |
| Total New Truck Sales | 1241.2 |
1224.3 |
1192.6 |
1236.1 |
1250.4 |
1215.4 |
1254.9 |
1297.8 |
1303.6 |
1326.6 |
1384.2 |
1402.9 |
1414.8 |
1438.2 |
1484.0 |
1520.6 |
1535.1 |
1537.5 |
1532.2 |
1549.1 |
1545.2 |
1528.2 |
1537.5 |
1537.3 |
1563.5 |
1556.3 |
1.0% |
| Percent Total Alternative Sales | 4.12 |
8.36 |
8.65 |
9.22 |
10.05 |
10.15 |
10.87 |
17.15 |
23.90 |
24.07 |
24.10 |
25.05 |
25.07 |
24.94 |
25.81 |
26.03 |
25.90 |
27.71 |
27.79 |
27.65 |
29.75 |
30.00 |
29.88 |
29.68 |
29.68 |
29.46 |
5.4% |
| EPACT Legislative Alternative Sales | 35.52 |
42.09 |
40.70 |
41.71 |
41.75 |
40.19 |
41.12 |
42.17 |
42.02 |
42.43 |
43.95 |
44.49 |
44.82 |
45.52 |
46.93 |
48.06 |
48.49 |
48.55 |
48.36 |
48.88 |
48.74 |
48.21 |
48.50 |
48.49 |
49.32 |
49.09 |
0.6% |
| ZEVP Legislative Alternative Sales | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
176.82 |
336.61 |
505.11 |
661.06 |
674.38 |
699.51 |
728.36 |
733.06 |
739.75 |
784.28 |
805.04 |
807.56 |
855.67 |
854.53 |
859.07 |
906.06 |
898.57 |
899.85 |
895.64 |
911.21 |
902.89 |
N/A |
| Total Vehicles Sales | 2673.3 |
2631.8 |
2557.9 |
2623.0 |
2629.7 |
2536.8 |
2602.4 |
2676.9 |
2676.5 |
2713.2 |
2821.5 |
2851.7 |
2868.9 |
2910.6 |
2998.0 |
3067.5 |
3092.9 |
3094.5 |
3081.2 |
3112.6 |
3102.8 |
3068.7 |
3087.3 |
3087.0 |
3139.5 |
3125.1 |
0.7% |
| 1/ Includes
personal and fleet light-duty cars. 2/ Includes personal and fleet light-duty trucks. ICE = Internal combustion engine. EPACT = Energy Policy Act of 1992. ZEVP = Zero emission vehicles from the low emission vehicle program. N/A = Not applicable. Sources: 2001 derived using: California Air Resources Board (CARB), "Proposed Regulations for Low-Emission Vehicles and Clean Fuels, Staff Report"; CARB, "ProposedAmendments to California Exhaust and Evaporative Emission Standards and Test Procedures for Passenger, Light-Duty Trucks and Medium-Duty Vehicles - LEVII and ProposedAmendments to California Motor Vehicle Certification: Assembly-Line and In-Use Test Requirements - CAP 2000," (El Monte, CA, September 1998); Energy Information Administration(EIA), Describing Current and Potential Markets for Alternative-Fuel Vehicles, DOE/EIA-0604(96) (Washington, DC, March 1996); EIA, Alternatives to Traditional Transportation Fuels1998, http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alt_trans98/table1.html; and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. |
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