Supplement Tables
to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003
Table 43. Light-Duty Vehicle Sales by Technology Type
(Thousands)
Mountain
| 2001- |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2025 |
|
| New Car Sales 1/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gasoline ICE Vehicles | 514.4 |
495.7 |
487.6 |
499.6 |
497.7 |
482.4 |
493.8 |
506.9 |
507.9 |
516.9 |
539.7 |
548.2 |
554.4 |
565.4 |
585.3 |
602.1 |
611.4 |
615.8 |
617.7 |
628.5 |
631.1 |
629.3 |
638.1 |
643.0 |
658.8 |
660.7 |
1.2% |
| TDI Diesel ICE | 1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.2% |
| Total Conventional | 515.5 |
496.8 |
488.7 |
500.7 |
498.8 |
483.6 |
494.9 |
508.0 |
509.0 |
518.1 |
541.0 |
549.4 |
555.7 |
566.8 |
586.7 |
603.6 |
612.9 |
617.5 |
619.4 |
630.2 |
632.9 |
631.2 |
640.0 |
645.0 |
660.9 |
663.1 |
1.2% |
| Alternative-Fuel Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5% |
| Methanol ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.2% |
| Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 12.5 |
29.6 |
28.8 |
29.4 |
29.3 |
28.1 |
28.9 |
29.9 |
30.0 |
30.6 |
32.3 |
32.9 |
33.2 |
34.0 |
35.4 |
36.6 |
37.2 |
37.4 |
37.4 |
38.1 |
38.2 |
37.9 |
38.4 |
38.7 |
39.8 |
39.8 |
1.2% |
| Ethanol ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
5.7% |
| Electric Vehicle | 0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5% |
| Electric-Diesel Hybrid | 0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
14.8% |
| Electric-Gasoline Hybrid | 2.2 |
5.0 |
6.9 |
10.4 |
16.5 |
16.4 |
20.6 |
25.0 |
26.6 |
28.1 |
30.3 |
31.6 |
32.7 |
34.1 |
36.1 |
37.9 |
38.6 |
38.9 |
39.1 |
39.8 |
39.9 |
39.8 |
40.4 |
40.8 |
41.7 |
41.9 |
9.3% |
| Compressed Natural Gas ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0% |
| Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel | 0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.6% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE | 0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel | 2.5 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
0.5% |
| Fuel Cell Gasoline | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Methanol | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Hydrogen | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Total Alternatives | 18.3 |
38.7 |
39.7 |
43.9 |
49.9 |
48.4 |
53.6 |
59.3 |
61.4 |
63.6 |
67.9 |
69.9 |
71.5 |
73.9 |
77.8 |
81.2 |
82.6 |
83.5 |
83.7 |
85.3 |
85.7 |
85.2 |
86.4 |
87.1 |
89.4 |
89.8 |
3.6% |
| Percent Alternative Car Sales | 3.44 |
7.22 |
7.51 |
8.06 |
9.10 |
9.10 |
9.77 |
10.45 |
10.77 |
10.94 |
11.15 |
11.28 |
11.40 |
11.54 |
11.71 |
11.85 |
11.87 |
11.91 |
11.90 |
11.92 |
11.93 |
11.89 |
11.90 |
11.89 |
11.92 |
11.92 |
2.1% |
| Total New Car Sales | 533.8 |
535.5 |
528.4 |
544.7 |
548.8 |
532.0 |
548.5 |
567.3 |
570.5 |
581.8 |
608.8 |
619.3 |
627.2 |
640.7 |
664.6 |
684.8 |
695.5 |
701.0 |
703.1 |
715.5 |
718.6 |
716.4 |
726.4 |
732.1 |
750.4 |
752.9 |
1.4% |
| New Light Truck Sales 2/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Conventional Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gasoline ICE Vehicles | 417.8 |
383.1 |
379.3 |
395.2 |
401.3 |
393.8 |
407.9 |
427.7 |
432.2 |
443.8 |
467.3 |
479.3 |
486.6 |
498.3 |
517.1 |
533.7 |
542.8 |
546.5 |
549.9 |
559.8 |
562.4 |
562.0 |
569.9 |
573.7 |
587.4 |
586.3 |
1.8% |
| TDI Diesel ICE | 22.2 |
37.4 |
36.4 |
39.4 |
40.8 |
41.1 |
42.9 |
40.3 |
41.8 |
42.6 |
44.0 |
43.0 |
44.4 |
45.6 |
48.0 |
49.5 |
50.8 |
53.1 |
52.7 |
54.3 |
55.3 |
53.9 |
54.5 |
55.7 |
57.5 |
60.8 |
2.0% |
| Total Conventional | 440.0 |
420.5 |
415.7 |
434.6 |
442.1 |
434.9 |
450.8 |
468.0 |
474.0 |
486.4 |
511.3 |
522.4 |
531.0 |
543.9 |
565.2 |
583.2 |
593.7 |
599.5 |
602.5 |
614.1 |
617.7 |
615.9 |
624.4 |
629.3 |
644.9 |
647.2 |
1.8% |
| Alternative-Fuel Vehicles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.0% |
| Methanol ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.7% |
| Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE | 14.1 |
34.4 |
33.7 |
35.7 |
36.0 |
35.0 |
36.8 |
38.8 |
39.2 |
40.3 |
43.0 |
44.2 |
44.9 |
46.2 |
48.4 |
50.3 |
51.3 |
51.6 |
51.7 |
52.7 |
52.9 |
52.6 |
53.4 |
53.7 |
55.3 |
55.0 |
2.0% |
| Ethanol ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
6.6% |
| Electric Vehicle | 0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
2.0% |
| Electric-Diesel Hybrid | 0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
13.7% |
| Electric-Gasoline Hybrid | 1.3 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
6.4 |
10.4 |
10.5 |
13.8 |
17.2 |
18.4 |
19.4 |
20.8 |
21.7 |
22.6 |
23.6 |
25.1 |
26.5 |
27.0 |
27.3 |
27.4 |
28.0 |
28.0 |
28.0 |
28.4 |
28.7 |
29.4 |
29.6 |
10.7% |
| Compressed Natural Gas ICE | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
-0.2% |
| Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel | 1.6 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.0% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE | 0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
2.9% |
| Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel | 5.3 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.0 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
8.5 |
8.8 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
9.1 |
9.3 |
9.4 |
9.3 |
9.5 |
9.5 |
9.8 |
9.8 |
2.0% |
| Fuel Cell Gasoline | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Methanol | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Fuel Cell Hydrogen | 0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
N/A |
| Total Alternatives | 22.7 |
45.3 |
45.8 |
50.8 |
55.4 |
54.4 |
60.0 |
65.8 |
67.7 |
70.2 |
75.0 |
77.4 |
79.3 |
81.9 |
86.2 |
90.0 |
91.7 |
92.6 |
93.0 |
94.8 |
95.2 |
94.7 |
96.2 |
96.9 |
99.5 |
99.7 |
3.3% |
| Percent Alternative Light Truck Sales | 4.90 |
9.72 |
9.93 |
10.47 |
11.14 |
11.12 |
11.74 |
12.33 |
12.50 |
12.62 |
12.79 |
12.90 |
12.99 |
13.09 |
13.24 |
13.37 |
13.38 |
13.38 |
13.37 |
13.37 |
13.35 |
13.33 |
13.35 |
13.35 |
13.37 |
13.34 |
1.3% |
| Total New Truck Sales | 462.7 |
465.8 |
461.5 |
485.4 |
497.5 |
489.3 |
510.8 |
533.9 |
541.7 |
556.6 |
586.3 |
599.7 |
610.2 |
625.8 |
651.4 |
673.2 |
685.3 |
692.2 |
695.5 |
708.9 |
712.8 |
710.7 |
720.6 |
726.2 |
744.4 |
746.8 |
2.0% |
| Percent Total Alternative Sales | 4.12 |
8.39 |
8.64 |
9.20 |
10.07 |
10.07 |
10.72 |
11.36 |
11.61 |
11.76 |
11.95 |
12.08 |
12.18 |
12.30 |
12.47 |
12.60 |
12.62 |
12.64 |
12.63 |
12.64 |
12.63 |
12.61 |
12.62 |
12.62 |
12.64 |
12.63 |
1.7% |
| EPACT Legislative Alternative Sales | 13.24 |
16.01 |
15.75 |
16.38 |
16.61 |
16.18 |
16.74 |
17.35 |
17.46 |
17.80 |
18.62 |
19.02 |
19.33 |
19.81 |
20.60 |
21.28 |
21.65 |
21.86 |
21.95 |
22.37 |
22.49 |
22.42 |
22.73 |
22.91 |
23.48 |
23.56 |
1.6% |
| ZEVP Legislative Alternative Sales | 0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
N/A |
| Total Vehicles Sales | 996.5 |
1001.3 |
989.9 |
1030.1 |
1046.3 |
1021.3 |
1059.3 |
1101.1 |
1112.2 |
1138.4 |
1195.1 |
1219.1 |
1237.5 |
1266.6 |
1315.9 |
1358.0 |
1380.8 |
1393.1 |
1398.6 |
1424.4 |
1431.4 |
1427.0 |
1447.1 |
1458.3 |
1494.8 |
1499.7 |
1.7% |
| 1/ Includes
personal and fleet light-duty cars. 2/ Includes personal and fleet light-duty trucks. ICE = Internal combustion engine. EPACT = Energy Policy Act of 1992. ZEVP = Zero emission vehicles from the low emission vehicle program. N/A = Not applicable. Sources: 2001 derived using: California Air Resources Board (CARB), "Proposed Regulations for Low-Emission Vehicles and Clean Fuels, Staff Report"; CARB, "ProposedAmendments to California Exhaust and Evaporative Emission Standards and Test Procedures for Passenger, Light-Duty Trucks and Medium-Duty Vehicles - LEVII and ProposedAmendments to California Motor Vehicle Certification: Assembly-Line and In-Use Test Requirements - CAP 2000," (El Monte, CA, September 1998); Energy Information Administration(EIA), Describing Current and Potential Markets for Alternative-Fuel Vehicles, DOE/EIA-0604(96) (Washington, DC, March 1996); EIA, Alternatives to Traditional Transportation Fuels1998, http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alt_trans98/table1.html; and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. |
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