Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003



Table 39. Light-Duty Vehicle Sales by Technology Type
(Thousands)
West North Central
                                                     
2001-
 
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2025
                                                       
New Car Sales 1/                                                      
Conventional Vehicles                                                      
Gasoline ICE Vehicles
584.3
554.6
537.6
543.1
533.5
509.5
513.9
519.9
513.4
515.0
529.9
530.6
529.1
532.1
543.1
551.1
551.8
548.2
542.5
544.5
539.4
530.8
531.0
528.0
533.9
528.4
-0.2%
TDI Diesel ICE
1.2
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.1
1.2
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.6%
Total Conventional
585.5
555.7
538.7
544.2
534.6
510.6
515.0
521.0
514.5
516.1
531.1
531.7
530.2
533.2
544.4
552.3
553.1
549.6
543.8
545.9
540.8
532.2
532.5
529.6
535.5
530.1
-0.2%
                                                       
Alternative-Fuel Vehicles                                                      
Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.9%
Methanol ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.4%
Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE
14.1
33.1
31.8
32.0
31.4
29.6
30.1
30.7
30.3
30.5
31.7
31.8
31.7
32.0
32.9
33.5
33.6
33.3
32.9
33.0
32.6
32.0
32.0
31.8
32.3
31.8
-0.2%
Ethanol ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
4.0%
Electric Vehicle
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-0.9%
Electric-Diesel Hybrid
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.6
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.5
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.6
2.5
2.5
2.4
2.6
2.6
13.1%
Electric-Gasoline Hybrid
2.5
5.5
7.4
11.1
17.2
17.0
21.0
25.0
26.3
27.4
29.1
29.9
30.6
31.5
32.8
34.0
34.2
34.0
33.7
33.8
33.4
33.0
33.0
32.9
33.2
32.9
7.8%
Compressed Natural Gas ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.1%
Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.8
0.7
-0.8%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.8%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel
2.9
3.2
3.1
3.0
3.0
2.8
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
2.6
-0.9%
Fuel Cell Gasoline
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Fuel Cell Methanol
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Fuel Cell Hydrogen
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Total Alternatives
20.7
43.1
43.6
47.5
53.0
50.7
55.2
60.1
61.3
62.6
65.8
66.8
67.4
68.7
71.3
73.4
73.6
73.4
72.6
73.0
72.4
71.0
71.1
70.7
71.7
71.0
2.1%
                                                       
Percent Alternative Car Sales
3.42
7.20
7.49
8.03
9.02
9.03
9.68
10.34
10.65
10.82
11.02
11.16
11.28
11.41
11.58
11.73
11.74
11.78
11.78
11.80
11.80
11.78
11.78
11.78
11.81
11.81
2.1%
Total New Car Sales
606.3
598.9
582.3
591.7
587.7
561.3
570.2
581.1
575.8
578.7
596.9
598.5
597.6
601.9
615.7
625.7
626.7
623.0
616.5
618.9
613.2
603.2
603.6
600.2
607.2
601.1
0.0%
                                                       
New Light Truck Sales 2/                                                      
Conventional Vehicles                                                      
Gasoline ICE Vehicles
475.3
430.4
420.9
432.3
434.2
419.9
428.5
442.2
440.6
445.7
462.6
467.5
467.9
472.5
483.5
492.1
493.6
490.2
486.5
488.6
484.3
477.4
477.6
474.4
479.4
472.4
0.4%
TDI Diesel ICE
24.5
39.8
37.1
39.7
39.2
38.9
40.2
37.3
37.9
38.2
38.8
37.4
38.2
38.7
40.2
40.8
41.5
42.8
41.9
42.6
42.9
41.3
41.2
41.6
42.4
44.4
0.5%
Total Conventional
499.8
470.2
458.0
472.0
473.3
458.8
468.7
479.5
478.5
483.9
501.4
504.9
506.1
511.2
523.7
533.0
535.1
533.0
528.4
531.3
527.2
518.7
518.9
516.0
521.8
516.7
0.4%
                                                       
Alternative-Fuel Vehicles                                                      
Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.6%
Methanol ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.2%
Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE
16.0
38.6
37.4
39.0
38.9
37.3
38.7
40.1
39.9
40.5
42.5
43.1
43.2
43.8
45.2
46.4
46.6
46.2
45.7
46.0
45.5
44.7
44.8
44.4
45.1
44.3
0.6%
Ethanol ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
5.1%
Electric Vehicle
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.6%
Electric-Diesel Hybrid
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0.9
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.2
12.0%
Electric-Gasoline Hybrid
1.5
2.8
4.1
6.9
10.9
10.8
14.1
17.3
18.2
18.9
20.1
20.7
21.2
21.9
22.9
23.9
24.0
24.0
23.8
23.9
23.6
23.3
23.3
23.3
23.5
23.4
9.2%
Compressed Natural Gas ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.9%
Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel
1.8
2.1
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
0.6%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.5%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel
6.0
6.8
6.7
6.9
7.0
6.8
7.0
7.2
7.2
7.3
7.5
7.6
7.6
7.7
7.9
8.1
8.1
8.1
8.0
8.0
8.0
7.9
7.9
7.8
7.9
7.8
0.6%
Fuel Cell Gasoline
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Fuel Cell Methanol
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Fuel Cell Hydrogen
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Total Alternatives
25.7
50.8
50.6
55.4
59.4
57.5
62.4
67.4
68.3
69.8
73.4
74.7
75.4
76.8
79.8
82.1
82.5
82.2
81.4
81.9
81.2
79.7
79.9
79.5
80.5
79.6
1.9%
                                                       
Percent Alternative Light Truck Sales
4.89
9.74
9.95
10.50
11.15
11.13
11.75
12.32
12.49
12.60
12.77
12.88
12.97
13.07
13.22
13.35
13.36
13.37
13.35
13.36
13.34
13.32
13.34
13.34
13.37
13.34
1.3%
Total New Truck Sales
525.5
520.9
508.6
527.4
532.8
516.3
531.0
546.9
546.8
553.7
574.8
579.6
581.5
588.0
603.5
615.1
617.6
615.2
609.8
613.2
608.3
598.4
598.7
595.5
602.3
596.3
0.6%
                                                       
Percent Total Alternative Sales
4.10
8.39
8.64
9.19
10.04
10.04
10.68
11.30
11.55
11.69
11.88
12.01
12.11
12.23
12.39
12.53
12.55
12.57
12.56
12.57
12.57
12.54
12.56
12.56
12.58
12.57
1.7%
EPACT Legislative Alternative Sales
15.04
17.91
17.36
17.79
17.79
17.07
17.40
17.77
17.62
17.71
18.25
18.38
18.42
18.61
19.09
19.44
19.51
19.43
19.25
19.35
19.19
18.88
18.89
18.78
19.00
18.81
0.2%
ZEVP Legislative Alternative Sales
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
                                                       
Total Vehicles Sales 1131.7 1119.8 1090.9 1119.1 1120.4 1077.6 1101.3 1128.0 1122.6 1132.4 1171.6 1178.1 1179.1 1189.9 1219.2 1240.8 1244.3 1238.3 1226.3 1232.1 1221.6 1201.6 1202.3 1195.7 1209.5 1197.4 0.3%
                                                       
1/ Includes personal and fleet light-duty cars.
2/ Includes personal and fleet light-duty trucks.
ICE = Internal combustion engine.
EPACT = Energy Policy Act of 1992.
ZEVP = Zero emission vehicles from the low emission vehicle program.
N/A = Not applicable.
Sources: 2001 derived using: California Air Resources Board (CARB), "Proposed Regulations for Low-Emission Vehicles and Clean Fuels, Staff Report"; CARB, "ProposedAmendments to California Exhaust and Evaporative Emission Standards and Test Procedures for Passenger, Light-Duty Trucks and Medium-Duty Vehicles - LEVII and ProposedAmendments to California Motor Vehicle Certification: Assembly-Line and In-Use Test Requirements - CAP 2000," (El Monte, CA, September 1998); Energy Information Administration(EIA), Describing Current and Potential Markets for Alternative-Fuel Vehicles, DOE/EIA-0604(96) (Washington, DC, March 1996); EIA, Alternatives to Traditional Transportation Fuels1998, http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alt_trans98/table1.html; and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.
Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.

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