Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003



Table 36. Light-Duty Vehicle Sales by Technology Type
(Thousands)
New England
                                                     
2001-
 
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2025
                                                       
New Car Sales 1/                                                      
Conventional Vehicles                                                      
Gasoline ICE Vehicles
419.5
399.2
387.3
391.4
384.4
366.9
369.7
373.7
317.4
317.5
326.2
321.9
320.2
321.7
323.5
327.0
327.4
314.6
309.7
310.9
296.0
289.2
289.5
288.2
290.8
288.5
-1.3%
TDI Diesel ICE
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
1.0
0.9
1.0
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.3%
Total Conventional
420.4
400.0
388.2
392.3
385.2
367.7
370.5
374.4
318.1
318.2
327.0
322.7
321.0
322.6
324.4
327.9
328.3
315.5
310.6
311.8
296.9
290.2
290.5
289.2
291.9
289.6
-1.3%
                                                       
Alternative-Fuel Vehicles                                                      
Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.9%
Methanol ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-2.5%
Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE
10.2
23.8
22.9
23.1
22.6
21.3
21.6
22.1
21.8
21.9
22.7
22.8
22.7
22.8
23.5
23.9
23.9
23.7
23.4
23.5
23.2
22.7
22.7
22.6
22.9
22.6
-0.2%
Ethanol ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
6.5%
Electric Vehicle
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.8
1.5
1.9
3.3
3.9
3.9
6.0
6.1
5.8
8.2
8.2
7.8
7.6
7.5
7.1
18.4%
Electric-Diesel Hybrid
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.4
2.8
3.0
3.3
3.6
3.7
3.9
4.7
4.9
4.9
5.9
6.0
6.1
7.3
7.0
6.9
6.8
7.3
7.4
19.6%
Electric-Gasoline Hybrid
1.8
4.0
5.5
8.2
12.6
12.4
15.3
18.2
68.3
69.5
72.0
76.2
76.1
76.3
81.2
83.2
83.0
90.0
90.1
90.3
97.7
97.8
97.9
97.1
98.2
96.6
14.2%
Compressed Natural Gas ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5.6%
Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
-0.8%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-6.7%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel
2.1
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.1
2.0
2.0
2.0
1.9
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.8
1.9
1.9
-0.9%
Fuel Cell Gasoline
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Fuel Cell Methanol
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Fuel Cell Hydrogen
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.6
0.7
N/A
Total Alternatives
15.0
31.1
31.6
34.5
38.4
36.8
40.1
43.6
95.7
97.2
101.0
106.0
106.6
107.8
115.4
118.6
118.6
128.3
128.3
128.5
139.2
138.5
138.3
137.0
139.1
136.9
6.4%
                                                       
Percent Alternative Car Sales
3.44
7.22
7.52
8.08
9.07
9.09
9.75
10.43
23.12
23.39
23.60
24.73
24.93
25.04
26.24
26.56
26.54
28.91
29.24
29.19
31.91
32.31
32.25
32.14
32.27
32.09
6.4%
Total New Car Sales
435.4
431.1
419.8
426.8
423.7
404.5
410.6
418.0
413.8
415.4
428.0
428.7
427.7
430.3
439.7
446.5
446.9
443.9
438.9
440.4
436.1
428.7
428.7
426.2
431.0
426.5
0.0%
                                                       
New Light Truck Sales 2/                                                      
Conventional Vehicles                                                      
Gasoline ICE Vehicles
340.9
309.5
301.7
310.0
312.0
301.6
308.4
317.6
295.1
298.2
309.5
310.5
310.9
314.3
319.9
325.2
326.3
320.4
317.3
318.4
310.6
305.3
305.3
303.4
305.2
300.5
-0.1%
TDI Diesel ICE
17.9
29.0
28.5
30.5
29.2
28.4
28.1
26.0
26.4
26.2
26.9
25.8
26.4
27.1
28.1
28.6
28.7
28.4
27.7
28.1
28.2
27.1
26.8
26.6
28.1
29.4
0.1%
Total Conventional
358.8
338.5
330.2
340.4
341.2
330.1
336.5
343.6
321.5
324.4
336.4
336.3
337.3
341.4
347.9
353.8
355.1
348.8
345.0
346.6
338.8
332.4
332.1
330.0
333.3
329.9
-0.1%
                                                       
Alternative-Fuel Vehicles                                                      
Methanol-Flex Fuel ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.5%
Methanol ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.7%
Ethanol-Flex Fuel ICE
11.5
27.8
26.8
28.0
28.0
26.8
27.9
28.9
28.7
29.2
30.6
30.9
31.0
31.3
32.3
33.1
33.3
33.1
32.7
32.9
32.5
31.9
32.0
31.8
32.2
31.6
0.5%
Ethanol ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
7.1%
Electric Vehicle
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.6
0.9
1.3
1.5
2.0
1.9
2.3
1.7
1.1
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.9%
Electric-Diesel Hybrid
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.8
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.5
1.5
1.6
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.4
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.5
2.5
17.0%
Electric-Gasoline Hybrid
1.1
2.1
3.0
5.1
8.0
7.9
10.3
12.6
33.6
34.2
35.2
37.4
37.7
38.0
41.0
42.3
42.4
46.5
46.6
46.8
50.9
50.8
51.0
50.8
51.4
50.7
14.3%
Compressed Natural Gas ICE
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5.7%
Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel
1.3
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
0.5%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas ICE
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-4.2%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel
4.3
4.9
4.8
5.0
5.0
4.9
5.0
5.2
5.2
5.2
5.4
5.4
5.5
5.5
5.7
5.8
5.8
5.8
5.7
5.7
5.7
5.6
5.6
5.5
5.6
5.6
0.5%
Fuel Cell Gasoline
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Fuel Cell Methanol
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Fuel Cell Hydrogen
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.6
0.7
N/A
Total Alternatives
18.5
36.6
36.5
39.9
42.9
42.0
45.8
49.8
71.5
73.1
75.8
78.9
78.8
79.0
83.1
85.1
85.3
89.5
89.2
89.7
93.7
92.8
93.3
92.8
94.3
93.2
4.0%
                                                       
Percent Alternative Light Truck Sales
4.91
9.75
9.95
10.50
11.17
11.28
11.99
12.67
18.20
18.39
18.39
19.00
18.94
18.78
19.27
19.38
19.36
20.43
20.54
20.56
21.67
21.83
21.93
21.95
22.05
22.03
3.5%
Total New Truck Sales
377.3
375.0
366.7
380.4
384.1
372.0
382.4
393.4
393.0
397.5
412.2
415.2
416.1
420.4
431.0
438.9
440.3
438.3
434.2
436.3
432.6
425.3
425.3
422.8
427.5
423.1
0.5%
                                                       
Percent Total Alternative Sales
4.12
8.40
8.65
9.22
10.07
10.14
10.83
11.51
20.72
20.95
21.05
21.91
21.98
21.95
22.79
23.00
22.98
24.70
24.91
24.90
26.81
27.09
27.11
27.07
27.18
27.08
5.0%
EPACT Legislative Alternative Sales
10.80
12.89
12.51
12.83
12.82
12.30
12.53
12.78
12.67
12.71
13.09
13.17
13.18
13.30
13.63
13.87
13.91
13.84
13.70
13.77
13.65
13.42
13.42
13.34
13.49
13.35
0.1%
ZEVP Legislative Alternative Sales
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
42.68
81.24
121.88
159.48
162.67
168.71
175.65
176.77
178.36
189.09
194.08
194.68
206.27
205.99
207.08
218.40
216.59
216.90
215.89
219.64
217.64
N/A
                                                       
Total Vehicles Sales
812.7
806.2
786.4
807.1
807.7
776.5
792.9
811.4
806.8
812.9
840.2
843.9
843.8
850.7
870.7
885.4
887.2
882.2
873.1
876.6
868.6
854.0
854.1
849.0
858.5
849.6
0.2%
                                                       
1/ Includes personal and fleet light-duty cars.
2/ Includes personal and fleet light-duty trucks.
ICE = Internal combustion engine.
EPACT = Energy Policy Act of 1992.
ZEVP = Zero emission vehicles from the low emission vehicle program.
N/A = Not applicable. Sources: 2001 derived using: California Air Resources Board (CARB), "Proposed Regulations for Low-Emission Vehicles and Clean Fuels, Staff Report"; CARB, "ProposedAmendments to California Exhaust and Evaporative Emission Standards and Test Procedures for Passenger, Light-Duty Trucks and Medium-Duty Vehicles - LEVII and ProposedAmendments to California Motor Vehicle Certification: Assembly-Line and In-Use Test Requirements - CAP 2000," (El Monte, CA, September 1998); Energy Information Administration (EIA), Describing Current and Potential Markets for Alternative-Fuel Vehicles, DOE/EIA-0604(96) (Washington, DC, March 1996); EIA, Alternatives to Traditional Transportation Fuels1998, http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alt_trans98/table1.html; and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.
Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.

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