Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

Table 27. Bulk Chemical Industry Energy Consumption

                                                      2001-
Shipments and Energy Consumption 1/ 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025
                                                       
Value of Shipments (billion 1996 dollars)
205.23
192.57
190.76
196.63
199.41
199.69
202.93
208.10
213.75
220.40
227.98
235.30
241.64
246.09
250.48
254.04
257.26
261.67
266.08
270.97
274.90
279.16
283.73
287.86
292.63
296.81
1.8%
                                                       
Energy Consumption (trillion Btu)                                                      
Heat and Power                                                      
Residual Oil
38.5
37.1
28.3
29.3
30.1
30.0
29.8
30.6
31.5
32.7
34.2
35.5
36.6
37.4
37.8
38.0
38.3
38.7
38.9
39.6
40.5
41.1
41.8
42.4
42.7
43.0
0.6%
Distillate Oil
1.6
1.8
1.6
1.6
1.9
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.3
2.2
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.2
2.2
0.7%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
39.2
37.6
41.0
44.4
38.7
38.1
39.1
39.6
41.1
43.2
45.1
47.1
49.2
50.7
51.1
51.4
52.0
52.7
52.7
53.6
55.9
57.2
58.5
59.7
59.9
60.0
2.0%
Other Petroleum 2/
701.2
635.4
588.5
612.0
615.1
608.0
611.1
625.3
641.6
662.1
688.2
711.6
731.8
743.6
754.0
760.9
766.8
777.0
788.2
802.7
815.4
827.9
841.3
853.4
866.1
876.9
1.4%
Petroleum Subtotal
780.4
711.9
659.4
687.4
685.8
678.0
682.0
697.5
716.2
740.0
769.8
796.3
820.0
834.0
845.1
852.5
859.4
870.5
882.0
898.0
914.0
928.3
943.6
957.6
970.9
982.2
1.4%
Natural Gas
1772.7
1676.6
1712.6
1743.1
1768.6
1773.6
1798.2
1831.1
1864.5
1903.7
1942.9
1983.5
2015.5
2038.3
2063.3
2084.5
2103.6
2133.0
2167.4
2202.7
2228.9
2260.6
2296.1
2327.9
2369.4
2406.1
1.5%
Steam Coal
184.5
181.7
180.1
180.7
180.7
180.2
180.2
180.5
180.9
181.4
182.1
182.7
183.1
183.3
183.4
183.5
183.5
183.6
183.8
184.0
184.1
184.2
184.3
184.4
184.6
184.7
0.1%
Purchased Electricity
487.1
447.4
431.6
446.2
448.0
443.2
446.2
454.8
465.2
477.5
494.2
509.0
521.5
528.0
534.4
538.2
541.2
547.0
552.1
558.6
562.7
567.4
572.2
576.3
580.6
584.6
1.1%
Total Heat and Power
3224.7
3017.6
2983.6
3057.6
3083.1
3074.9
3106.6
3164.0
3226.8
3302.7
3389.0
3471.6
3540.0
3583.5
3626.1
3658.7
3687.6
3734.1
3785.3
3843.2
3889.7
3940.5
3996.2
4046.2
4105.5
4157.5
1.3%
Feedstock
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
1802.5
1688.2
1670.6
1718.7
1738.0
1736.6
1760.0
1799.4
1842.7
1894.3
1953.5
2010.5
2059.4
2092.7
2125.6
2151.7
2175.0
2208.5
2243.3
2282.1
2313.1
2346.7
2383.0
2415.6
2453.5
2486.6
1.6%
Petrochemical Feedstocks
1453.8
1363.0
1348.4
1386.8
1402.2
1401.2
1420.0
1451.7
1486.6
1528.3
1576.1
1622.0
1661.5
1688.5
1715.0
1736.2
1755.0
1781.8
1808.7
1838.9
1862.9
1889.8
1918.6
1944.5
1974.6
2000.6
1.6%
Natural Gas
750.2
702.6
695.1
715.0
723.0
722.5
732.2
748.7
766.7
788.1
812.7
836.3
856.7
870.4
884.0
894.8
904.5
918.9
933.3
949.4
962.3
976.3
991.4
1005.0
1020.7
1034.5
1.6%
Total Feedstocks
4006.5
3753.8
3714.1
3820.5
3863.2
3860.3
3912.2
3999.8
4096.1
4210.8
4342.3
4468.8
4577.6
4651.6
4724.6
4782.7
4834.5
4909.2
4985.4
5070.5
5138.4
5212.8
5292.9
5365.0
5448.8
5521.7
1.6%
Total
7231.2
6771.3
6697.8
6878.1
6946.3
6935.2
7018.8
7163.8
7322.8
7513.5
7731.3
7940.4
8117.7
8235.2
8350.7
8441.4
8522.2
8643.3
8770.6
8913.8
9028.0
9153.3
9289.1
9411.3
9554.2
9679.2
1.5%
                                                       
Energy Consumption per Unit of Output                                                      
(thousand Btu per 1996 dollar shipments)                                                      
Heat and Power                                                      
Residual Oil
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
-1.2%
Distillate Oil
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-1.1%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2%
Other Petroleum
3.4
3.3
3.1
3.1
3.1
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
-0.5%
Petroleum Subtotal
3.8
3.7
3.5
3.5
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
-0.5%
Natural Gas
8.6
8.7
9.0
8.9
8.9
8.9
8.9
8.8
8.7
8.6
8.5
8.4
8.3
8.3
8.2
8.2
8.2
8.2
8.1
8.1
8.1
8.1
8.1
8.1
8.1
8.1
-0.3%
Steam Coal
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
-1.7%
Purchased Electricity
2.4
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.1
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
-0.7%
Total Heat and Power
15.7
15.7
15.6
15.5
15.5
15.4
15.3
15.2
15.1
15.0
14.9
14.8
14.6
14.6
14.5
14.4
14.3
14.3
14.2
14.2
14.1
14.1
14.1
14.1
14.0
14.0
-0.5%
Feedstock                                                      
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
8.8
8.8
8.8
8.7
8.7
8.7
8.7
8.6
8.6
8.6
8.6
8.5
8.5
8.5
8.5
8.5
8.5
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.4
8.4
-0.2%
Petrochemical Feedstocks
7.1
7.1
7.1
7.1
7.0
7.0
7.0
7.0
7.0
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.7
6.7
-0.2%
Natural Gas
3.7
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
-0.2%
Total Feedstocks
19.5
19.5
19.5
19.4
19.4
19.3
19.3
19.2
19.2
19.1
19.0
19.0
18.9
18.9
18.9
18.8
18.8
18.8
18.7
18.7
18.7
18.7
18.7
18.6
18.6
18.6
-0.2%
Total
35.2
35.2
35.1
35.0
34.8
34.7
34.6
34.4
34.3
34.1
33.9
33.7
33.6
33.5
33.3
33.2
33.1
33.0
33.0
32.9
32.8
32.8
32.7
32.7
32.6
32.6
-0.3%
                                                       
Carbon Dioxide Emissions 3/                                                      
(million metric tons carbon equivalent)
89.9
83.6
81.0
82.8
83.5
83.2
84.2
85.9
87.7
89.8
92.3
94.6
96.5
97.7
98.8
99.8
100.5
101.8
103.1
104.6
105.7
107.0
108.4
109.6
111.1
112.4
1.2%
                                                       
Combined Heat and Power 4/                                                      
Generating Capacity (gigawatts)                                                      
Petroleum
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
N/A
Natural Gas
6.96
7.04
7.24
7.39
7.59
7.79
8.00
8.22
8.43
8.65
8.82
8.99
9.14
9.29
9.43
9.59
9.75
9.92
10.12
10.33
10.55
10.77
11.02
11.27
11.56
11.84
2.2%
Coal
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
N/A
Other 5/
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
N/A
Total
8.12
8.19
8.39
8.54
8.74
8.95
9.16
9.37
9.58
9.81
9.97
10.14
10.29
10.44
10.59
10.74
10.91
11.08
11.27
11.48
11.70
11.92
12.18
12.42
12.72
12.99
1.9%
Net Generation (billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Petroleum
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
N/A
Natural Gas
43.70
44.26
45.77
46.88
48.35
49.88
51.44
53.07
54.59
56.28
57.51
58.79
59.85
60.97
62.05
63.20
64.40
65.65
67.10
68.63
70.24
71.88
73.75
75.55
77.71
79.72
2.5%
Coal
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
3.07
N/A
Other 5/
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
6.33
N/A
Total
53.36
53.91
55.42
56.53
58.00
59.54
61.09
62.72
64.25
65.93
67.17
68.44
69.50
70.62
71.70
72.85
74.05
75.30
76.75
78.28
79.89
81.53
83.40
85.20
87.36
89.37
2.1%
Disposition                                                      
Sales to the Grid
8.93
9.21
9.97
10.52
11.26
12.02
12.80
13.61
14.38
15.22
15.84
16.47
17.00
17.56
18.10
18.68
19.28
19.91
20.63
21.39
22.20
23.02
23.96
24.85
25.93
26.94
4.6%
Generation for Own Use
44.42
44.70
45.46
46.01
46.75
47.51
48.29
49.11
49.87
50.71
51.33
51.97
52.50
53.06
53.60
54.17
54.77
55.40
56.12
56.89
57.69
58.51
59.45
60.35
61.43
62.43
1.4%
Thermal Output (trillion Btu)
331.5
333.3
337.3
340.3
344.2
348.2
352.3
356.5
360.4
364.7
367.8
371.0
373.7
376.5
379.2
382.1
385.0
388.0
391.4
395.0
398.8
402.5
406.8
410.8
415.6
419.9
1.0%
Energy Input (trillion Btu)                                                      
Petroleum
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
N/A
Natural Gas
601.4
606.4
619.3
628.8
641.3
654.3
667.5
681.3
694.2
708.3
718.7
729.4
738.3
747.7
756.7
766.3
776.2
786.6
798.5
811.0
824.2
837.5
852.7
867.2
884.6
900.6
1.7%
Coal
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
104.6
N/A
Other 5/
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
138.1
N/A
Total
851.0
856.0
868.9
878.4
890.9
903.9
917.1
930.9
943.8
958.0
968.3
979.0
987.9
997.3
1006.3
1015.9
1025.8
1036.2
1048.1
1060.6
1073.8
1087.1
1102.3
1116.8
1134.2
1150.2
1.2%
Efficiency 6/
0.604
0.604
0.606
0.607
0.608
0.610
0.611
0.613
0.614
0.615
0.616
0.617
0.618
0.619
0.620
0.621
0.622
0.622
0.623
0.624
0.625
0.626
0.627
0.628
0.629
0.630
0.2%
Power-to-Heat Ratio 7/
0.549
0.552
0.561
0.567
0.575
0.583
0.592
0.600
0.608
0.617
0.623
0.629
0.635
0.640
0.645
0.651
0.656
0.662
0.669
0.676
0.684
0.691
0.700
0.708
0.717
0.726
1.1%
                                                       
1/ Fuel consumption includes consumption for combined heat and power.
2/ Includes petroleum coke, lubricants, and miscellaneous petroleum products.
3/ Includes emissions attributable to the fuels consumed to generate the purchased electricity.
4/ Includes industrial-owned generators not classified as combined heat and power, such as standby generators.
5/ Includes wood and other biomass, waste heat, municipal solid waste, and renewable sources.
6/ Efficiency is calculated as the sum of the thermal output and electrical generation in Btus divided by the energy input.
7/ Power-to-Heat is calculated as the electrical generation in Btus divided by the thermal output.
Btu = British thermal unit.
N/A = Not applicable.
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2001 are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports.
Source: 2001 nonutility and CHP summer capacity, net generation, fuel use, and thermal output: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Form EIA-860: "Annual Electric Generator Report" (preliminary). Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.

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