Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

Table 26. Paper Industry Energy Consumption

                                                      2001-
Shipments and Energy Consumption 1/ 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025
                                                       
Value of Shipments (billion 1996 dollars)
165.43
154.15
152.27
156.98
160.41
162.81
164.70
167.51
170.46
174.72
179.92
184.57
188.44
191.96
195.58
198.58
201.26
204.21
207.44
210.84
213.67
216.27
219.45
222.56
225.93
229.06
1.7%
                                                       
Energy Consumption (trillion Btu)                                                      
Residual Oil
147.0
145.5
135.3
135.3
135.7
135.5
134.4
134.1
133.8
133.9
134.3
134.3
134.3
134.2
133.8
133.3
132.9
132.5
132.2
132.1
132.5
132.4
132.5
132.6
132.4
132.2
-0.4%
Distillate Oil
9.4
9.5
9.3
9.3
9.5
9.5
9.5
9.5
9.6
9.6
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.6
9.6
9.6
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.8
0.1%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
5.5
5.2
5.4
5.5
5.5
5.5
5.5
5.5
5.6
5.6
5.7
5.7
5.8
5.8
5.8
5.8
5.8
5.9
5.9
5.9
6.0
6.0
6.1
6.1
6.2
6.3
0.7%
Petroleum Subtotal
162.0
160.2
150.0
150.1
150.7
150.5
149.4
149.2
148.9
149.1
149.6
149.7
149.8
149.7
149.3
148.8
148.4
148.1
147.7
147.7
148.1
148.1
148.3
148.4
148.3
148.3
-0.3%
Natural Gas
535.2
516.4
529.8
536.2
541.4
545.1
548.4
551.6
554.5
558.6
562.6
566.5
568.6
570.9
573.7
576.0
578.2
581.6
587.2
593.5
599.3
605.9
614.1
621.6
631.0
639.7
0.9%
Steam Coal
285.7
284.6
281.5
282.1
281.6
281.3
281.0
280.9
281.0
281.2
281.5
281.7
281.9
281.9
281.9
281.9
281.9
281.8
281.7
281.9
282.2
282.4
282.5
282.8
282.8
282.9
0.0%
Renewables
1207.6
1131.0
1121.2
1159.2
1188.5
1210.4
1228.3
1253.2
1279.6
1315.6
1358.7
1398.4
1431.9
1463.0
1495.3
1523.2
1548.3
1575.5
1605.1
1636.1
1663.9
1690.7
1722.2
1753.4
1787.0
1819.0
2.0%
Purchased Electricity
235.5
206.6
197.3
201.8
202.3
201.2
199.2
198.9
198.7
200.2
203.6
206.1
207.6
208.4
209.5
209.6
209.3
209.3
209.5
209.9
209.7
209.3
209.3
209.4
209.5
209.8
0.1%
Total
2425.9
2298.8
2279.8
2329.4
2364.4
2388.4
2406.3
2433.8
2462.7
2504.7
2556.1
2602.4
2639.8
2674.0
2709.7
2739.4
2766.0
2796.3
2831.2
2869.1
2903.3
2936.4
2976.4
3015.6
3058.8
3099.6
1.3%
                                                       
Energy Consumption per Unit of Output                                                      
(thousand Btu per 1996 dollar shipments)                                                      
Residual Oil
0.89
0.94
0.89
0.86
0.85
0.83
0.82
0.80
0.78
0.77
0.75
0.73
0.71
0.70
0.68
0.67
0.66
0.65
0.64
0.63
0.62
0.61
0.60
0.60
0.59
0.58
-2.0%
Distillate Oil
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
-1.5%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
0.03
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
-0.9%
Petroleum Subtotal
0.98
1.04
0.98
0.96
0.94
0.92
0.91
0.89
0.87
0.85
0.83
0.81
0.80
0.78
0.76
0.75
0.74
0.73
0.71
0.70
0.69
0.68
0.68
0.67
0.66
0.65
-2.0%
Natural Gas
3.23
3.35
3.48
3.42
3.38
3.35
3.33
3.29
3.25
3.20
3.13
3.07
3.02
2.97
2.93
2.90
2.87
2.85
2.83
2.81
2.80
2.80
2.80
2.79
2.79
2.79
-0.8%
Steam Coal
1.73
1.85
1.85
1.80
1.76
1.73
1.71
1.68
1.65
1.61
1.56
1.53
1.50
1.47
1.44
1.42
1.40
1.38
1.36
1.34
1.32
1.31
1.29
1.27
1.25
1.24
-1.7%
Renewables
7.30
7.34
7.36
7.38
7.41
7.43
7.46
7.48
7.51
7.53
7.55
7.58
7.60
7.62
7.65
7.67
7.69
7.72
7.74
7.76
7.79
7.82
7.85
7.88
7.91
7.94
0.3%
Purchased Electricity
1.42
1.34
1.30
1.29
1.26
1.24
1.21
1.19
1.17
1.15
1.13
1.12
1.10
1.09
1.07
1.06
1.04
1.02
1.01
1.00
0.98
0.97
0.95
0.94
0.93
0.92
-1.6%
Total
14.66
14.91
14.97
14.84
14.74
14.67
14.61
14.53
14.45
14.34
14.21
14.10
14.01
13.93
13.85
13.80
13.74
13.69
13.65
13.61
13.59
13.58
13.56
13.55
13.54
13.53
-0.4%
                                                       
Carbon Dioxide Emissions 2/                                                      
(million metric tons carbon equivalent)
30.8
28.9
27.7
27.9
28.0
28.0
28.0
28.1
28.1
28.2
28.4
28.6
28.6
28.6
28.7
28.7
28.7
28.8
28.8
28.9
29.0
29.1
29.2
29.3
29.4
29.6
0.1%
                                                       
Combined Heat and Power 4/                                                      
Generating Capacity (gigawatts)                                                      
Petroleum
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.40
N/A
Natural Gas
2.05
2.14
2.27
2.38
2.50
2.62
2.73
2.84
2.95
3.05
3.14
3.22
3.30
3.38
3.46
3.54
3.63
3.71
3.81
3.92
4.03
4.14
4.27
4.40
4.54
4.67
3.3%
Coal
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
1.88
N/A
Other 5/
4.49
4.49
4.49
4.73
4.91
5.04
5.15
5.31
5.47
5.69
5.96
6.20
6.41
6.60
6.80
6.97
7.13
7.29
7.48
7.67
7.84
8.00
8.20
8.39
8.60
8.79
2.8%
Total
8.82
8.91
9.05
9.39
9.69
9.94
10.17
10.43
10.69
11.02
11.37
11.70
11.99
12.26
12.54
12.79
13.03
13.29
13.57
13.86
14.15
14.43
14.75
15.07
15.42
15.75
2.4%
Net Generation (billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Petroleum
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
3.45
N/A
Natural Gas
8.88
9.58
10.59
11.39
12.31
13.21
14.06
14.88
15.66
16.44
17.11
17.75
18.33
18.93
19.52
20.13
20.77
21.42
22.16
22.93
23.77
24.62
25.60
26.53
27.60
28.60
4.7%
Coal
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
7.60
N/A
Other 5/
29.75
29.75
29.75
31.12
32.17
32.96
33.60
34.50
35.45
36.75
38.30
39.73
40.93
42.05
43.22
44.22
45.12
46.10
47.17
48.28
49.28
50.25
51.38
52.51
53.72
54.87
2.6%
Total
49.68
50.38
51.39
53.56
55.52
57.22
58.72
60.43
62.16
64.23
66.46
68.52
70.31
72.03
73.79
75.40
76.94
78.57
80.38
82.27
84.10
85.92
88.03
90.09
92.37
94.51
2.7%
Disposition                                                      
Sales to the Grid
2.36
2.71
3.22
4.30
5.29
6.13
6.88
7.74
8.60
9.64
10.75
11.79
12.68
13.54
14.42
15.22
15.99
16.81
17.71
18.66
19.58
20.48
21.54
22.57
23.71
24.78
9.7%
Generation for Own Use
47.31
47.67
48.17
49.25
50.24
51.08
51.83
52.69
53.55
54.59
55.70
56.74
57.63
58.49
59.37
60.17
60.95
61.76
62.66
63.61
64.53
65.44
66.49
67.52
68.66
69.73
1.6%
Thermal Output (trillion Btu)
1059.3
974.9
966.3
989.2
1007.5
1021.7
1033.5
1049.1
1065.5
1087.2
1112.5
1135.9
1155.7
1174.3
1193.5
1210.2
1225.5
1241.9
1259.9
1278.6
1295.7
1312.3
1331.7
1350.8
1371.5
1391.2
1.5%
Energy Input (trillion Btu)                                                      
Petroleum
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
117.6
N/A
Natural Gas
304.8
310.6
318.9
325.5
333.0
340.4
347.3
354.0
360.3
366.6
372.1
377.3
382.0
386.9
391.6
396.5
401.6
406.8
412.8
418.9
425.6
432.3
440.0
447.3
455.7
463.5
1.7%
Coal
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
268.7
N/A
Other 5/
1238.6
1130.8
1117.1
1160.7
1194.4
1219.5
1240.2
1268.7
1299.1
1340.5
1390.0
1435.6
1474.1
1509.8
1547.0
1579.0
1607.8
1639.1
1673.1
1708.7
1740.6
1771.5
1807.7
1843.6
1882.1
1918.9
2.2%
Total
1929.7
1827.8
1822.4
1872.6
1913.7
1946.3
1973.9
2009.1
2045.7
2093.5
2148.5
2199.2
2242.4
2283.1
2325.0
2361.8
2395.8
2432.3
2472.3
2514.0
2552.6
2590.1
2634.1
2677.2
2724.2
2768.8
1.7%
Efficiency 6/
0.637
0.627
0.626
0.626
0.625
0.625
0.625
0.625
0.624
0.624
0.623
0.623
0.622
0.622
0.622
0.621
0.621
0.621
0.621
0.620
0.620
0.620
0.620
0.619
0.619
0.619
-0.1%
Power-to-Heat Ratio 7/
0.160
0.176
0.181
0.185
0.188
0.191
0.194
0.197
0.199
0.202
0.204
0.206
0.208
0.209
0.211
0.213
0.214
0.216
0.218
0.220
0.221
0.223
0.226
0.228
0.230
0.232
1.1%
 
1/ Fuel consumption includes consumption for combined heat and power.
2/ Includes emissions attributable to the fuels consumed to generate the purchased electricity.
4/ Includes industrial-owned generators not classified as combined heat and power, such as standby generators.
5/ Includes wood and other biomass, waste heat, municipal solid waste, and renewable sources.
6/ Efficiency is calculated as the sum of the thermal output and electrical generation in Btus divided by the energy input.
7/ Power-to-Heat is calculated as the electrical generation in Btus divided by the thermal output.
Btu = British thermal unit.
N/A = Not applicable.
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2001 are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports.
Source: 2001 nonutility and CHP summer capacity, net generation, fuel use, and thermal output: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Form EIA-860: "Annual Electric Generator Report" (preliminary). Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.

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