Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

Table 23. Industrial Sector Macroeconomic Indicators

                                                      2001-
  2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025
                                                       
GDP (billion 1996 dollars)
9191.4
9214.5
9439.7
9743.3
10074.5
10361.2
10666.6
11017.3
11407.9
11810.3
12258.4
12671.3
13081.8
13479.9
13892.9
14287.9
14680.7
15101.4
15540.1
16013.0
16450.0
16887.9
17362.6
17858.1
18388.7
18916.5
3.0%
                                                       
Non-Agricultural Employment (millions)
131.3
131.7
130.8
132.6
135.3
137.0
138.6
140.7
142.9
144.7
147.1
149.3
150.5
151.5
152.8
154.0
155.1
156.0
157.0
158.1
159.2
160.0
161.4
162.7
164.4
165.9
1.0%
                                                       
Value of Shipments                                                      
(billion 1996 dollars)                                                      
                                                       
Nonmanufacturing Sector                                                      
Agricultural
282.1
282.0
284.4
285.1
286.7
288.5
291.8
297.6
304.7
311.3
317.4
323.7
328.8
332.7
336.4
340.0
344.2
349.1
353.9
358.4
363.4
368.4
372.9
377.4
382.3
387.6
1.3%
Mining
139.6
140.4
138.8
141.4
142.5
143.4
147.7
149.5
151.1
152.1
153.0
154.4
156.1
157.4
159.0
160.8
162.1
163.5
166.0
168.9
170.9
172.9
175.9
177.4
179.4
181.1
1.1%
Construction
919.7
923.4
905.4
893.7
905.1
908.0
918.3
955.0
985.4
1007.4
1034.8
1064.4
1088.3
1098.5
1119.1
1134.9
1145.3
1156.6
1166.7
1187.5
1208.8
1225.2
1244.1
1259.3
1279.4
1300.5
1.4%
                                                       
Manufacturing Sector                                                      
Food and Kindred Products
437.7
441.1
445.4
455.9
462.3
464.5
467.1
471.9
477.9
487.3
499.2
509.4
516.9
522.8
529.2
535.4
541.9
549.3
557.0
565.4
572.6
579.6
587.1
594.7
603.1
609.4
1.4%
Beverages and Tobacco Products
105.4
105.0
106.2
106.9
108.0
109.4
110.3
111.6
113.0
114.8
117.1
119.2
120.7
122.0
123.4
124.9
126.6
128.6
130.5
132.5
134.3
136.2
138.2
140.0
142.0
143.9
1.3%
Textile Mill Products
78.5
70.3
66.8
66.1
65.1
64.6
64.1
64.0
63.4
63.2
63.0
62.8
63.9
65.9
67.8
69.4
71.1
73.0
75.3
77.7
79.5
81.0
82.6
84.2
85.5
85.4
0.8%
Apparel and Other Textile Products
80.1
75.0
75.3
73.2
71.9
71.2
70.2
69.9
69.1
68.2
67.8
67.4
67.7
68.3
68.7
68.9
69.1
69.5
69.8
70.3
70.5
70.6
70.8
70.9
71.3
71.6
-0.2%
Lumber and Wood Products
108.9
99.7
101.0
105.2
106.4
103.5
104.2
106.8
109.2
112.1
116.0
119.3
122.3
124.3
126.6
128.1
128.8
130.1
131.6
134.3
136.1
138.1
140.6
142.8
145.3
145.5
1.6%
Furniture and Fixtures
67.6
61.6
61.2
63.8
65.0
65.4
66.3
68.8
70.7
72.8
75.5
78.0
79.6
80.7
82.1
82.8
83.4
84.4
85.2
86.3
86.7
86.9
87.3
87.1
86.6
84.8
1.3%
Paper and Allied Products
165.4
154.2
152.3
157.0
160.4
162.8
164.7
167.5
170.5
174.7
179.9
184.6
188.4
192.0
195.6
198.6
201.3
204.2
207.4
210.8
213.7
216.3
219.5
222.6
225.9
229.1
1.7%
Printing and Publishing
209.5
191.7
184.5
189.3
193.6
195.6
198.1
201.7
204.1
207.4
211.7
215.4
219.2
223.1
227.2
230.8
234.0
237.5
241.4
245.9
249.9
253.2
257.3
261.5
266.3
271.0
1.5%
Chemical and Allied Products
413.4
388.2
384.6
398.6
408.4
415.3
425.6
440.1
454.9
472.1
491.4
510.4
527.6
541.8
556.1
568.8
582.2
598.4
614.7
631.1
645.4
661.0
676.9
691.8
707.9
724.1
2.6%
Bulk Chemicals
205.2
192.6
190.8
196.6
199.4
199.7
202.9
208.1
213.7
220.4
228.0
235.3
241.6
246.1
250.5
254.0
257.3
261.7
266.1
271.0
274.9
279.2
283.7
287.9
292.6
296.8
1.8%
Other Chemical and Allied Products
208.2
195.7
193.8
202.0
209.0
215.6
222.7
232.0
241.2
251.7
263.4
275.1
286.0
295.7
305.6
314.7
324.9
336.7
348.6
360.1
370.5
381.8
393.2
403.9
415.3
427.3
3.3%
Petroleum and Coal Products
183.0
187.0
189.7
193.4
193.9
196.7
199.1
203.8
207.3
210.7
214.9
218.3
221.5
223.7
225.3
226.6
228.1
229.8
231.7
233.7
235.4
236.3
237.4
238.6
240.0
241.1
1.1%
Petroleum Refining
164.0
170.1
173.0
176.7
176.9
179.5
181.5
185.8
188.9
191.8
195.5
198.3
201.2
203.1
204.3
205.2
206.3
207.6
209.0
210.4
211.8
212.3
212.8
213.4
214.2
214.7
1.0%
Other Petroleum and Coal Products
19.1
16.9
16.7
16.6
17.0
17.2
17.6
18.0
18.4
18.9
19.4
20.0
20.3
20.6
21.0
21.4
21.8
22.2
22.7
23.3
23.6
24.0
24.6
25.2
25.8
26.4
1.9%
Rubber and Miscellaneous Plastic Products
169.7
160.7
160.8
166.2
171.5
175.2
179.9
185.5
190.4
196.4
203.6
210.8
218.1
225.9
234.5
242.0
249.0
256.7
264.8
273.8
281.0
288.8
298.3
307.7
318.0
327.0
3.0%
Leather and Leather Products
8.1
7.2
6.6
6.4
6.2
6.0
5.8
5.6
5.5
5.4
5.4
5.3
5.2
5.1
5.0
4.9
4.8
4.7
4.6
4.6
4.4
4.3
4.2
4.1
3.9
3.8
-2.7%
Stone, Clay, and Glass Products
99.8
87.6
79.5
80.3
82.9
84.8
87.1
90.1
92.7
95.5
98.7
102.0
103.5
104.3
105.6
106.4
107.0
107.8
108.8
110.4
111.5
112.6
114.2
115.6
117.3
117.7
1.2%
Glass and Glass Products
27.4
24.1
22.4
22.6
23.4
24.4
25.4
26.4
27.2
28.3
29.3
30.6
31.3
31.8
32.4
33.0
33.5
34.1
34.6
35.5
36.3
37.1
38.0
38.9
40.0
40.9
2.2%
Cement and Hydraulic Products
6.3
6.0
5.7
5.7
6.1
6.2
6.2
6.4
6.7
6.8
7.0
7.2
7.3
7.5
7.6
7.7
7.8
7.8
7.9
8.0
8.0
8.2
8.2
8.3
8.3
8.3
1.3%
Other Stone, Clay, and Glass Products
66.0
57.4
51.5
52.0
53.4
54.2
55.5
57.3
58.8
60.4
62.3
64.2
64.9
65.0
65.5
65.7
65.7
65.9
66.2
66.9
67.1
67.4
68.0
68.5
69.0
68.5
0.7%
                                                       
Primary Metals Industry
195.1
175.6
169.1
177.5
183.4
185.2
189.1
195.3
199.6
205.4
212.8
219.7
224.7
228.0
231.5
232.4
232.4
233.6
235.2
237.7
238.1
238.3
240.8
242.6
245.8
248.0
1.4%
Blast Furnace and Basic Steel Products
75.4
67.5
66.0
69.6
71.4
72.2
73.9
76.0
77.6
79.8
82.3
84.8
86.3
87.2
88.0
87.8
87.5
87.7
88.2
88.7
88.3
88.3
88.8
89.2
89.9
90.2
1.2%
Aluminum
31.7
30.3
29.4
30.6
31.4
31.3
31.5
32.1
32.9
33.7
34.8
35.7
36.3
37.0
37.7
38.2
38.6
39.0
39.4
39.9
40.1
40.4
40.9
41.4
41.9
42.5
1.4%
Other Primary Metal Products
87.9
77.8
73.7
77.3
80.6
81.7
83.7
87.2
89.0
91.9
95.7
99.2
102.1
103.8
105.8
106.4
106.4
106.9
107.6
109.1
109.7
109.6
111.0
112.1
114.1
115.2
1.6%
Fabricated Metal Products
237.8
217.3
213.8
224.0
231.2
235.0
238.6
244.4
249.5
256.1
264.4
272.4
280.1
287.2
294.7
300.4
305.2
310.6
316.5
322.9
328.2
333.4
340.3
346.8
354.0
360.8
2.1%
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
494.6
442.9
424.4
467.6
505.8
532.0
568.0
592.2
623.2
657.6
696.1
732.1
770.5
808.6
844.7
873.5
900.5
931.9
967.7
1004.9
1041.4
1084.1
1134.4
1189.8
1248.9
1282.0
4.5%
Electronic and Other Electric Equipment
511.6
441.0
437.6
512.0
581.0
628.6
687.7
744.1
805.8
875.1
948.6
1017.5
1088.0
1154.9
1214.8
1259.6
1294.3
1328.5
1365.4
1403.8
1439.8
1481.0
1529.4
1580.1
1634.7
1690.5
5.8%
Transportation Equipment
565.2
528.8
502.3
533.9
569.4
582.7
607.6
636.1
649.4
667.7
686.7
701.6
714.1
726.4
747.6
766.0
783.6
807.5
832.3
864.7
889.3
912.0
948.6
981.7
1026.1
1061.4
2.9%
Instruments and Related Products
179.7
180.2
179.1
184.4
191.7
197.4
200.8
206.4
212.0
218.1
225.8
233.0
244.0
256.1
268.0
279.2
290.3
302.0
313.8
326.1
338.3
350.7
363.6
376.6
390.1
404.4
3.4%
Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries
66.5
63.8
62.8
63.8
65.4
66.3
67.5
69.5
70.8
72.5
74.8
76.9
80.4
84.8
89.8
94.6
99.4
104.9
111.0
117.7
123.9
129.6
136.3
142.9
149.9
155.7
3.8%
                                                       
Total Industrial Value of Shipments
5719.1
5424.9
5331.7
5545.2
5757.6
5882.2
6059.6
6277.4
6480.1
6704.0
6958.6
7198.3
7429.8
7634.5
7852.7
8029.1
8184.7
8362.2
8551.3
8769.2
8963.0
9160.6
9400.6
9636.1
9903.8
10126.2
2.6%

GDP = Gross domestic product.
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.
Source: 2000 and 2001: Global Insight macroeconomic model CTL0802 and industry service August 2002, run for the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Projections: EIA, AEO2003
National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.

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