Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003



Table 18. Energy Prices by Sector and Source
(2001 Dollars per Million Btu, Unless Otherwise Noted)
Mountain
                                                     
2001-
Sector and Source
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2025
                                                       
Residential
12.95
14.25
12.79
12.28
12.35
12.45
12.34
12.35
12.60
12.74
12.93
12.90
12.97
12.74
13.12
13.07
13.29
13.11
13.24
13.15
13.40
13.14
13.41
13.37
13.86
13.91
-0.1%
Primary Energy 1/
7.02
8.68
6.71
6.73
6.67
6.66
6.58
6.62
6.78
6.80
6.80
6.76
6.68
6.62
6.87
6.99
7.05
7.03
6.99
7.00
7.08
6.98
7.03
7.14
7.38
7.53
-0.6%
Petroleum Products 2/
11.85
11.99
10.68
11.15
11.36
11.14
10.85
11.04
11.08
11.13
11.34
11.44
11.50
11.60
11.71
11.78
11.86
11.96
12.05
12.16
12.23
12.34
12.46
12.56
12.64
12.73
0.3%
Distillate Fuel
8.58
7.79
7.57
8.52
7.98
7.42
7.34
7.34
7.39
7.43
7.50
7.68
7.72
7.88
8.08
8.12
8.19
8.37
8.49
8.67
8.71
8.87
9.03
9.14
9.19
9.28
0.7%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
13.00
13.72
11.82
12.24
12.75
12.66
12.29
12.54
12.58
12.61
12.86
12.90
12.94
12.98
13.02
13.06
13.10
13.15
13.19
13.23
13.27
13.33
13.39
13.46
13.51
13.58
0.0%
Natural Gas
6.52
8.36
6.31
6.34
6.27
6.29
6.23
6.27
6.45
6.48
6.46
6.43
6.35
6.28
6.56
6.69
6.75
6.73
6.69
6.70
6.79
6.68
6.74
6.86
7.11
7.26
-0.6%
Electricity
22.00
22.55
22.08
20.73
21.05
21.30
21.16
21.12
21.45
21.73
22.23
22.23
22.57
22.11
22.66
22.27
22.72
22.27
22.66
22.41
22.90
22.42
23.02
22.76
23.60
23.47
0.2%
                                                       
Commercial
11.79
13.10
12.14
11.35
11.34
11.34
11.26
11.29
11.61
11.82
12.13
12.17
12.44
12.13
12.63
12.42
12.77
12.49
12.77
12.61
13.03
12.63
13.06
12.87
13.56
13.53
0.1%
Primary Energy 1/
5.64
7.16
5.30
5.23
5.21
5.27
5.26
5.34
5.56
5.63
5.67
5.66
5.61
5.56
5.82
5.94
6.00
6.00
5.98
6.00
6.10
5.99
6.05
6.17
6.41
6.56
-0.4%
Petroleum Products 2/
8.99
8.46
7.61
7.83
7.48
7.37
7.22
7.26
7.31
7.35
7.44
7.58
7.61
7.72
7.88
7.92
7.97
8.13
8.22
8.36
8.39
8.52
8.65
8.75
8.80
8.90
0.2%
Distillate Fuel
7.15
6.40
6.09
6.52
5.89
5.70
5.61
5.62
5.67
5.71
5.78
5.96
6.00
6.16
6.35
6.40
6.47
6.65
6.76
6.94
6.99
7.15
7.31
7.42
7.47
7.56
0.7%
Residual Fuel
4.56
4.46
3.33
3.61
3.24
3.12
3.15
3.17
3.19
3.21
3.23
3.26
3.28
3.30
3.33
3.35
3.37
3.40
3.42
3.44
3.47
3.50
3.54
3.57
3.60
3.64
-0.8%
Natural Gas
5.48
7.21
5.21
5.14
5.13
5.21
5.22
5.30
5.54
5.61
5.65
5.63
5.57
5.51
5.79
5.92
5.98
5.97
5.94
5.96
6.06
5.94
6.00
6.12
6.39
6.54
-0.4%
Electricity
18.52
19.51
19.55
18.07
18.08
17.95
17.73
17.63
17.95
18.22
18.74
18.76
19.30
18.69
19.34
18.71
19.27
18.66
19.17
18.79
19.48
18.77
19.52
19.00
20.04
19.77
0.1%
                                                       
Industrial 3/
6.32
6.40
6.01
6.07
6.03
5.99
5.96
6.00
6.17
6.24
6.34
6.37
6.43
6.40
6.65
6.65
6.76
6.74
6.83
6.85
7.00
6.93
7.11
7.13
7.39
7.45
0.6%
Primary Energy
4.75
4.79
4.36
4.56
4.42
4.33
4.29
4.33
4.43
4.48
4.53
4.58
4.58
4.64
4.84
4.93
4.99
5.06
5.10
5.19
5.25
5.27
5.36
5.45
5.58
5.69
0.7%
Petroleum Products 2/
6.33
6.08
5.81
6.26
6.09
5.89
5.82
5.82
5.86
5.90
5.99
6.09
6.14
6.31
6.49
6.57
6.62
6.77
6.86
7.01
7.03
7.16
7.29
7.39
7.44
7.54
0.9%
Distillate Fuel
6.94
6.50
6.38
6.80
6.17
5.98
5.90
5.90
5.95
6.00
6.06
6.24
6.28
6.44
6.64
6.69
6.75
6.93
7.05
7.23
7.27
7.43
7.59
7.70
7.75
7.84
0.8%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
11.28
11.86
8.77
9.21
9.54
9.46
9.09
9.34
9.38
9.41
9.66
9.70
9.74
9.78
9.82
9.86
9.90
9.94
9.99
10.03
10.07
10.13
10.19
10.25
10.31
10.37
-0.6%
Residual Fuel
3.30
3.23
3.72
4.01
3.62
3.50
3.53
3.55
3.57
3.59
3.62
3.64
3.66
3.68
3.71
3.73
3.75
3.78
3.80
3.82
3.85
3.88
3.92
3.95
3.98
4.02
0.9%
Natural Gas 4/
4.13
4.44
3.59
3.57
3.53
3.57
3.55
3.63
3.85
3.91
3.93
3.93
3.88
3.83
4.12
4.27
4.34
4.34
4.32
4.37
4.51
4.39
4.45
4.57
4.84
5.00
0.5%
Metallurgical Coal
1.41
1.46
1.43
1.43
1.41
1.40
1.39
1.38
1.37
1.36
1.35
1.34
1.34
1.34
1.33
1.32
1.32
1.31
1.31
1.30
1.31
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.29
1.29
-0.5%
Steam Coal
1.41
1.41
1.43
1.41
1.39
1.38
1.38
1.36
1.35
1.34
1.31
1.31
1.30
1.29
1.29
1.28
1.27
1.27
1.25
1.24
1.23
1.22
1.22
1.21
1.20
1.19
-0.7%
Electricity
11.47
11.85
11.95
11.33
11.42
11.47
11.41
11.41
11.68
11.81
12.04
11.94
12.13
11.77
12.11
11.79
12.07
11.72
11.96
11.76
12.12
11.77
12.20
11.98
12.57
12.45
0.2%
                                                       
Transportation
11.78
10.97
10.34
10.94
10.87
10.74
10.85
10.97
10.94
11.05
11.08
11.06
11.00
10.92
10.92
10.90
10.94
11.11
11.15
11.15
11.13
11.19
11.28
11.37
11.41
11.62
0.2%
Primary Energy
11.76
10.95
10.31
10.92
10.85
10.72
10.83
10.95
10.92
11.03
11.05
11.04
10.98
10.90
10.90
10.88
10.92
11.09
11.13
11.13
11.11
11.17
11.26
11.36
11.39
11.60
0.2%
Petroleum Products 2/
11.76
10.95
10.31
10.92
10.86
10.72
10.83
10.96
10.92
11.04
11.06
11.06
10.99
10.92
10.91
10.89
10.93
11.11
11.14
11.15
11.12
11.18
11.27
11.37
11.41
11.61
0.2%
Distillate Fuel 5/
11.37
10.45
9.65
10.30
10.17
9.91
10.07
10.60
10.50
10.66
10.74
10.85
10.70
10.57
10.52
10.51
10.54
10.66
10.74
10.71
10.65
10.79
10.91
10.98
11.01
11.07
0.2%
Jet Fuel 6/
7.80
6.70
6.45
6.87
6.64
6.40
6.18
6.17
6.19
6.23
6.17
6.34
6.32
6.40
6.49
6.46
6.47
6.60
6.71
6.79
6.79
6.93
7.07
7.14
7.16
7.24
0.3%
Motor Gasoline 7/
12.85
12.09
11.41
12.03
12.01
11.94
12.09
12.06
12.04
12.14
12.16
12.06
12.03
11.95
11.95
11.93
11.98
12.19
12.20
12.21
12.22
12.24
12.30
12.42
12.47
12.77
0.2%
Residual Fuel
3.19
3.36
3.52
3.39
3.42
3.43
3.45
3.45
3.47
3.49
3.50
3.52
3.54
3.55
3.57
3.59
3.61
3.63
3.65
3.66
3.68
4.61
4.61
4.61
4.61
4.61
1.3%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas 8/
16.08
17.04
14.23
14.66
13.58
13.46
13.06
13.29
13.30
13.31
13.53
13.55
13.55
13.56
13.57
13.58
13.59
13.61
13.62
13.63
13.64
13.68
13.71
13.74
13.77
13.81
-0.9%
Natural Gas 9/
5.65
6.00
4.86
5.15
5.21
5.34
5.52
5.74
6.14
6.35
6.49
6.56
6.59
6.57
6.84
7.00
7.07
7.09
7.12
7.16
7.30
7.14
7.19
7.32
7.62
7.81
1.1%
Ethanol (E85) 10/
17.72
17.72
17.72
20.43
19.19
19.43
19.64
21.18
21.46
21.82
22.06
22.12
22.22
22.29
22.39
22.70
22.78
22.89
22.95
23.02
23.11
23.15
23.25
23.38
23.51
23.67
1.2%
Electricity
18.92
19.40
19.25
18.11
18.23
18.30
18.09
18.00
18.21
18.36
18.66
18.54
18.68
18.18
18.51
18.07
18.34
17.79
17.95
17.61
17.86
17.29
17.62
17.27
17.80
17.58
-0.4%
                                                       
Average End-Use Energy
10.55
10.65
9.92
10.04
10.05
10.01
10.03
10.11
10.23
10.36
10.47
10.48
10.52
10.41
10.59
10.55
10.69
10.71
10.82
10.80
10.91
10.84
11.03
11.06
11.30
11.42
0.3%
Primary Energy
8.97
8.88
8.02
8.42
8.38
8.33
8.41
8.53
8.60
8.71
8.77
8.79
8.76
8.74
8.85
8.90
8.96
9.10
9.13
9.17
9.19
9.23
9.32
9.43
9.54
9.74
0.4%
Electricity
17.42
18.24
18.25
17.06
17.22
17.28
17.13
17.08
17.38
17.61
18.02
18.00
18.36
17.88
18.40
17.96
18.41
17.93
18.33
18.05
18.58
18.05
18.65
18.30
19.14
18.96
0.2%
                                                       
Electric Generators 11/                                                      
Fossil Fuel Average
1.56
1.79
1.35
1.49
1.51
1.51
1.46
1.37
1.45
1.42
1.44
1.42
1.43
1.37
1.38
1.31
1.32
1.27
1.28
1.25
1.27
1.29
1.31
1.30
1.34
1.32
-1.3%
Petroleum Products
4.65
6.74
6.33
6.76
6.06
5.87
5.78
5.79
5.84
5.88
5.95
6.12
6.17
6.33
6.52
6.57
6.64
6.81
6.93
7.11
7.16
7.32
7.48
7.58
7.64
7.73
0.6%
Distillate Fuel
8.15
7.72
6.33
6.76
6.06
5.87
5.78
5.79
5.84
5.88
5.95
6.12
6.17
6.33
6.52
6.57
6.64
6.81
6.93
7.11
7.16
7.32
7.48
7.58
7.64
7.73
0.0%
Residual Fuel
4.49
6.52
4.54
4.82
4.43
4.31
4.34
4.36
4.34
4.36
4.42
4.40
4.46
4.47
4.49
4.51
4.53
4.55
4.57
4.60
4.62
4.62
4.62
4.62
4.62
4.57
-1.5%
Natural Gas
4.61
5.32
2.91
3.31
3.45
3.59
3.61
3.63
3.95
4.03
4.11
4.09
4.07
3.96
4.20
4.30
4.34
4.31
4.35
4.33
4.46
4.26
4.29
4.39
4.69
4.86
-0.4%
Steam Coal
1.07
1.07
1.04
1.04
1.03
1.03
1.01
1.00
0.98
0.98
0.97
0.97
0.97
0.96
0.95
0.95
0.94
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.92
-0.6%
                                                       
Average Price to All Users 12/                                                      
Petroleum Products 2/
10.82
10.11
9.57
10.17
10.12
9.99
10.08
10.20
10.19
10.30
10.35
10.37
10.34
10.31
10.34
10.35
10.39
10.57
10.62
10.65
10.64
10.72
10.81
10.92
10.96
11.16
0.4%
Distillate Fuel
10.29
9.47
8.83
9.45
9.21
8.98
9.11
9.54
9.49
9.65
9.76
9.90
9.81
9.75
9.76
9.78
9.82
9.97
10.06
10.08
10.04
10.19
10.33
10.41
10.46
10.53
0.4%
Jet Fuel
7.80
6.70
6.45
6.87
6.64
6.40
6.18
6.17
6.19
6.23
6.17
6.34
6.32
6.40
6.49
6.46
6.47
6.60
6.71
6.79
6.79
6.93
7.07
7.14
7.16
7.24
0.3%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
12.51
13.25
10.92
11.33
11.74
11.66
11.29
11.54
11.57
11.60
11.83
11.87
11.90
11.93
11.97
12.01
12.05
12.09
12.13
12.17
12.21
12.26
12.32
12.37
12.43
12.49
-0.2%
Motor Gasoline 7/
12.85
12.09
11.41
12.03
12.00
11.93
12.08
12.06
12.04
12.14
12.16
12.06
12.02
11.95
11.95
11.93
11.98
12.19
12.20
12.21
12.22
12.24
12.30
12.42
12.47
12.77
0.2%
Residual Fuel
4.29
6.25
3.72
4.00
3.61
3.49
3.52
3.53
3.56
3.58
3.60
3.62
3.65
3.67
3.69
3.71
3.74
3.76
3.78
3.81
3.83
3.87
3.90
3.93
3.97
4.00
-1.8%
Natural Gas
5.21
6.33
4.43
4.49
4.53
4.63
4.65
4.77
4.99
5.07
5.10
5.10
5.04
5.00
5.28
5.46
5.51
5.53
5.51
5.55
5.66
5.49
5.53
5.66
5.93
6.10
-0.2%
Coal
1.08
1.08
1.06
1.06
1.05
1.04
1.03
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.98
0.97
0.97
0.96
0.95
0.95
0.94
0.94
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.93
-0.6%
Ethanol (E85) 10/
17.72
17.72
17.72
20.43
19.19
19.43
19.64
21.18
21.46
21.82
22.06
22.12
22.22
22.29
22.39
22.70
22.78
22.89
22.95
23.02
23.11
23.15
23.25
23.38
23.51
23.67
1.2%
Electricity
17.42
18.24
18.25
17.06
17.22
17.28
17.13
17.08
17.38
17.61
18.02
18.00
18.36
17.88
18.40
17.96
18.41
17.93
18.33
18.05
18.58
18.05
18.65
18.30
19.14
18.96
0.2%
                                                       
Non-Renewable Energy Expenditures by Sector                                                      
(billion 2001 dollars)                                                      
Residential
8.15
9.08
8.47
8.52
8.85
9.10
9.23
9.45
9.85
10.12
10.48
10.68
11.00
11.01
11.53
11.66
12.07
12.08
12.41
12.55
13.03
12.98
13.48
13.67
14.40
14.61
2.0%
Commercial
5.86
6.82
6.45
6.24
6.43
6.54
6.61
6.78
7.14
7.48
7.91
8.17
8.57
8.59
9.16
9.24
9.76
9.85
10.37
10.55
11.18
11.12
11.77
11.89
12.80
13.09
2.8%
Industrial
5.74
5.59
5.26
5.38
5.46
5.47
5.53
5.68
5.96
6.15
6.39
6.55
6.73
6.78
7.15
7.23
7.44
7.50
7.71
7.86
8.15
8.19
8.55
8.70
9.19
9.41
2.2%
Transportation
20.60
19.35
18.45
20.23
20.78
21.27
22.35
23.53
24.40
25.64
26.75
27.73
28.53
29.28
30.19
31.01
31.98
33.38
34.41
35.40
36.23
37.34
38.61
40.01
41.28
43.13
3.4%
Total Non-Renewable Expenditures
40.35
40.84
38.63
40.38
41.52
42.39
43.72
45.44
47.36
49.39
51.52
53.12
54.83
55.66
58.03
59.14
61.25
62.80
64.90
66.36
68.59
69.63
72.41
74.27
77.68
80.24
2.9%
Transportation Renewable Expenditures
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
11.6%
Total Expenditures
40.35
40.84
38.63
40.38
41.52
42.39
43.72
45.44
47.36
49.40
51.53
53.13
54.84
55.66
58.03
59.14
61.26
62.81
64.91
66.37
68.60
69.64
72.42
74.28
77.69
80.25
2.9%
                                                       
1/ Weighted average price includes fuels below as well as coal.
2/ This quantity is the weighted average for all petroleum products, not just those listed below.
3/ Includes combined heat and power.
4/ Excludes uses for lease and plant fuel.
5/ Diesel fuel containing 500 parts per million (ppm) or 15 ppm sulfur. Price includes Federal and State taxes while excluding county and local taxes.
6/ Kerosene-type jet fuel. Price includes Federal and State taxes while excluding county and local taxes.
7/ Sales weighted-average price for all grades. Includes Federal, State, and local taxes.
8/ Includes Federal and State taxes while excluding county and local taxes.
9/ Compressed natural gas used as a vehicle fuel. Price includes estimated motor vehicle fuel taxes.
10/ E85 is 85 percent ethanol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable).
11/ Includes combined heat and power plants whose primary business is to sell electricity, or electricity and heat, to the public.
12/ Weighted averages of end-use fuel prices are derived from the prices shown in each sector and the corresponding sectoral consumption.
Btu = British thermal unit.
Note: Data for 2000 and 2001 are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports.
Sources: 2000 prices for motor gasoline, distillate, and jet fuel are based on prices in the Energy Information Administration (EIA), Petroleum Marketing Annual 2000, http://www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/petroleum_marketing_annual/pma_historical.html (August 2001). 2001 prices for motor gasoline, distillate, and jet fuel are based on the Petroleum Marketing Annual 2001, http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/petroleum_marketing_annual/current/pdf/pmaall.pdf (Setember 2002). 2000 residential, commercial, and transportation natural gas delivered prices: EIA, Natural Gas Annual 2000, DOE/EIA-0131(2000) (Washington, DC, November 2001). 2001 residential, commercial, and transportation natural gas delivered prices: EIA, Natural Gas Monthly, DOE/EIA-0130(2002/08) (Washington, DC, August 2002). 2000 and 2001 electric power prices: Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, FERC Form 423, "Monthly Report of Cost and Quality of Fuels for Electric Plants." 2000 and 2001 industrial gas delivered prices are based on: EIA, Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey 1998. 2000 and 2001 coal prices based on EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2001, DOE/EIA-0121(2001/4Q) (Washington, DC, May 2002) and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. 2000 and 2001 electricity prices: Annual Energy Review 2001, DOE/EIA-0384(2001) (Washington, DC, November 2002). Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.

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