Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003
Table 6. Growth in Gross Domestic Product, Labor Force,
and Productivity
(Percent per Year)
| Assumptions |
2001-2005 |
2005-2010 |
2010-2015 |
2015-2020 |
2020-2025 |
2001-2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP |
||||||
| High Growth |
3.6 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
| Reference |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
| Low Growth |
2.4 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
Labor Force |
||||||
| High Growth |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
| Reference |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
| Low Growth |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
Productivity |
||||||
| High Growth |
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
| Reference |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
| Low Growth |
1.4 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
| Source: Energy Information Administration, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System runs: AEO2003.d110502c; lm2003.d110502c; and hm2003.d110502c. | ||||||