Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003
Table 37. High Technology Matrix For Cars
| Fractional |
Incremen- |
Incremen- |
Incremen- |
Incremen- |
Introduction |
Fractional |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit Body Construction |
4 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
-6 |
1980 |
0 |
| Material Substitution II |
3.3 |
0 |
0.4 |
0 |
-5 |
1990 |
0 |
| Material Substitution III |
6.6 |
0 |
0.5 |
0 |
-10 |
1998 |
0 |
| Material Substitution IV |
9.9 |
0 |
0.5 |
0 |
-15 |
2006 |
0 |
| Material Substitution V |
13.2 |
0 |
1.1 |
0 |
-20 |
2014 |
0 |
| Drag Reduction II |
1.6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1988 |
0 |
| Drag Reduction III |
3.2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.2 |
1992 |
0 |
| Drag Reduction IV |
6.3 |
145 |
0 |
0 |
0.5 |
2002 |
0 |
| Drag Reduction V |
8 |
225 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2010 |
0 |
| Roll-Over Technology |
-1.5 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
2.2 |
2005 |
0 |
| Side Impact Technology |
-1.5 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
2.2 |
2005 |
0 |
| Adv Low Loss Torque Converter |
2 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1999 |
0 |
| Early Torque Converter Lockup |
2 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2002 |
0 |
| Aggressive Shift Logic |
5 |
65 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1999 |
0 |
| 4-Speed Automatic |
4.5 |
285 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
1980 |
0 |
| 5-Speed Automatic |
9.5 |
410 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
1995 |
0 |
| 6-Speed Automatic |
11 |
495 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
2004 |
0 |
| 6-Speed Manual |
2 |
60 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
1995 |
0 |
| CVT |
12.5 |
315 |
0 |
-25 |
0 |
1998 |
0 |
| Automated Manual Trans |
8 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2006 |
0 |
| Roller Cam |
2 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1980 |
0 |
| OHC/AdvOHV-4 Cylinder |
3 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1980 |
10 |
| OHC/AdvOHV-6 Cylinder |
3 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1987 |
10 |
| OHC/AdvOHV-8 Cylinder |
3 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1986 |
10 |
| 4-Valve/4-Cylinder |
9.6 |
165 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
1988 |
0 |
| 4-Valve/6-Cylinder |
9.6 |
240 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
1992 |
17 |
| 4 Valve/8-Cylinder |
9.6 |
320 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
1994 |
0 |
| 5 Valve/6-Cylinder |
10 |
300 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
1998 |
20 |
| VVT-4 Cylinder |
2.5 |
30 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
1994 |
5 |
| VVT-6 Cylinder |
2.5 |
90 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
1993 |
5 |
| VVT-8 Cylinder |
2.5 |
90 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
1993 |
5 |
| VVL-4 Cylinder |
9.5 |
130 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
1997 |
10 |
| VVL-6 Cylinder |
9.5 |
190 |
0 |
40 |
0 |
2000 |
10 |
| VVL-8 Cylinder |
9.5 |
250 |
0 |
50 |
0 |
2000 |
10 |
| Camless Valve Actuation-4cyl |
12 |
450 |
0 |
35 |
0 |
2009 |
13 |
| Camless Valve Actuation-6cyl |
12 |
600 |
0 |
55 |
0 |
2008 |
13 |
| Camless Valve Actuation-8cyl |
12 |
750 |
0 |
75 |
0 |
2007 |
13 |
| Cylinder Deactivation |
10 |
250 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
2004 |
0 |
| Turbocharging/ Supercharging |
5 |
300 |
0 |
-100 |
0 |
1980 |
15 |
| Engine Friction Reduction I |
2 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1992 |
3 |
| Engine Friction Reduction II |
3.5 |
63 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2000 |
5 |
| Engine Friction Reduction III |
5 |
114 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2008 |
7 |
| Engine Friction Reduction IV |
6.5 |
177 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2016 |
9 |
| Stoichiometric GDI/4-Cylinder |
7 |
300 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
2006 |
10 |
| Stoichiometric GDI/6-Cylinder |
7 |
450 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
2006 |
10 |
| Lean Burn GDI |
7 |
250 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
2006 |
0 |
| 5W-30 Engine Oil |
1 |
1.5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1998 |
0 |
| 5W-20 Engine Oil |
2 |
2.5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2003 |
0 |
| OW-20 Engine Oil |
3.1 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2030 |
0 |
| Electric Power Steering |
2 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2004 |
0 |
| Improved Alternator |
0.3 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2005 |
0 |
| Improved Oil/Water Pump |
0.5 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2000 |
0 |
| Electric Oil/Water Pump |
1 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2007 |
0 |
| Tires II |
1.5 |
0 |
0 |
-8 |
0 |
1995 |
0 |
| Tires III |
3 |
0 |
0 |
-12 |
0 |
2005 |
0 |
| Tires IV |
6 |
90 |
0 |
-16 |
0 |
2015 |
0 |
| Front Wheel Drive |
6 |
250 |
0 |
0 |
-6 |
1980 |
0 |
| Four Wheel Drive Improvements |
2 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
2000 |
0 |
| 42V-Launch Assist and Regen |
5 |
300 |
0 |
80 |
0 |
2005 |
-5 |
| 42V-Engine Off at Idle |
6 |
400 |
0 |
45 |
0 |
2005 |
0 |
| Tier 2 Emissions Technology |
-1 |
120 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
2006 |
0 |
| Increased Size/Weight |
-1.7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2.55 |
2001 |
0 |
| Variable Compression Ratio |
4 |
350 |
0 |
25 |
0 |
2015 |
0 |
| Source: Energy and Environmental Analysis, Documentation of Technology included in the NEMS Fuel Economy Model for Passenger Cars and Light Trucks (September, 2002). | |||||||