Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003
Table 35. Future New Aircraft Technology Improvement List
| Proposed Technology |
Introduction Year |
Jet Fuel Price Necessary
For Cost-Effectiveness |
Seat-Miles |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narrow |
Wide |
|||
| Engines |
||||
| Ultra-high Bypass |
1995 |
$.69 |
10 |
10 |
| Propfan |
2000 |
$1.36 |
23 |
0 |
| Thermodynamics |
2010 |
$1.22 |
20 |
20 |
| Aerodynamics |
||||
| Hybrid Laminar Flow |
2020 |
$1.53 |
15 |
15 |
| Advanced Aerodynamics |
2000 |
$1.70 |
18 |
18 |
| Other |
||||
| Weight Reducing Materials |
2000 |
- |
15 |
15 |
| Source: Greene, D.L., Energy Efficiency Improvement Potential of Commercial Aircraft to 2010, ORNL-6622, 6/1990., and from data tables in the Air Transportation Energy Use Model (ATEM), Oak Ridge National Laboratory. | ||||