Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook

Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

Table 24. Logit Function Parameters for Estimating Boiler Fuel Shares

Industry	Region	Alpha	Natural Gas	Steam Coal	Oil
Food & Kindred Products	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	0.84 0.63 0.80 0.77	0.04 0.36 0.10 0.17	0.12 0.01 0.10 0.06

Paper & Allied Products	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	0.30 0.50 0.52 0.87	0.18 0.47 0.35 0.09	0.53 0.03 0.13 0.04

Bulk Chemicals	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	0.61 0.55 0.63 0.44	0.01 0.22 0.09 0.51	0.38 0.23 0.26 0.05

Glass & Glass Products	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99	0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00	0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

Hydraulic Cement	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	0.05 0.31 0.40 0.56	0.95 0.69 0.60 0.44	0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Blast Furnaces & Basic Steel	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	0.98 0.69 0.86 0.97	0.01 0.14 0.06 0.01	0.01 0.17 0.08 0.02

Aluminum	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00	0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00	0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Metal Based Durables	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	0.68 0.74 0.85 0.97	0.15 0.24 0.03 0.00	0.17 0.02 0.12 0.03

Balance of Manufacturing	1 2 3 4	-0.25 -0.25 -0.25 -0.25	0.06 0.68 0.69 0.80	0.23 0.28 0.24 0.17	0.17 0.04 0.07 0.03
Alpha: User-specified. Source: Energy Information Administration, Model Documentation Report: Industrial Sector Demand Module of the National Energy Modeling System, DOE/EIA-064(2003), (Washington, DC, January 2003).