Annual Energy Outlook 2003 with Projections to 2025
Reference Case

Table 6. Industrial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption
(Quadrillion Btu per Year, Unless Otherwise Noted)

Key Indicators and Consumption 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2001-
2025
                                                       
Key Indicators                                                      
                                                       
Value of Shipments (billion 1996 dollars)                                                      
Manufacturing
4378
4079
4003
4225
4423
4542
4702
4875
5039
5233
5453
5656
5857
6046
6238
6393
6533
6693
6865
7054
7220
7394
7608
7822
8063
8257
3.0%
Nonmanufacturing
1341
1346
1329
1320
1334
1340
1358
1402
1441
1471
1505
1542
1573
1589
1614
1636
1652
1669
1687
1715
1743
1767
1793
1814
1841
1869
1.4%
Total
5719
5425
5332
5545
5758
5882
6060
6277
6480
6704
6959
7198
7430
7634
7853
8029
8185
8362
8551
8769
8963
9161
9401
9636
9904
10126
2.6%
                                                       
Energy Prices (2001 dollars per million Btu)                                                      
Electricity
13.46
14.10
12.99
12.88
12.82
12.75
12.55
12.56
12.63
12.75
12.64
12.62
12.61
12.68
12.76
12.78
12.94
12.90
13.01
13.00
13.25
13.20
13.43
13.37
13.62
13.46
-0.2%
Natural Gas
4.62
4.87
3.40
3.72
3.58
3.52
3.46
3.53
3.64
3.75
3.89
3.96
4.05
4.10
4.15
4.18
4.22
4.22
4.19
4.21
4.32
4.33
4.39
4.46
4.52
4.57
-0.3%
Steam Coal
1.43
1.46
1.48
1.47
1.45
1.44
1.43
1.42
1.41
1.39
1.38
1.37
1.36
1.36
1.35
1.35
1.34
1.33
1.33
1.32
1.31
1.30
1.30
1.29
1.29
1.29
-0.5%
Residual Oil
3.34
3.28
3.85
4.14
3.72
3.60
3.62
3.64
3.67
3.69
3.71
3.73
3.75
3.78
3.80
3.82
3.85
3.87
3.89
3.91
3.94
3.97
4.00
4.03
4.07
4.10
0.9%
Distillate Oil
7.38
6.55
6.14
6.57
5.79
5.62
5.55
5.56
5.62
5.66
5.73
5.87
5.92
6.06
6.24
6.28
6.34
6.47
6.59
6.75
6.80
6.93
7.02
7.13
7.18
7.25
0.4%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
12.03
12.34
8.20
8.62
9.41
9.33
8.99
9.23
9.28
9.32
9.59
9.66
9.70
9.78
9.85
9.91
9.95
9.99
10.03
10.08
10.12
10.17
10.22
10.28
10.35
10.40
-0.7%
Motor Gasoline
12.39
11.57
10.92
11.54
10.96
10.82
11.30
11.34
11.37
11.47
11.49
11.38
11.35
11.28
11.30
11.28
11.32
11.51
11.55
11.56
11.56
11.56
11.60
11.72
11.79
12.07
0.2%
Metallurgical Coal
1.66
1.69
1.62
1.61
1.59
1.57
1.57
1.55
1.53
1.52
1.51
1.49
1.48
1.48
1.47
1.46
1.45
1.43
1.43
1.41
1.41
1.38
1.38
1.37
1.36
1.35
-0.9%
                                                       
Energy Consumption 1/                                                      
Purchased Electricity
3.63
3.39
3.17
3.33
3.42
3.47
3.55
3.65
3.76
3.84
3.95
4.05
4.13
4.21
4.28
4.34
4.38
4.44
4.50
4.58
4.63
4.69
4.77
4.85
4.93
5.00
1.6%
Natural Gas
8.48
7.74
8.22
8.33
8.31
8.35
8.52
8.66
8.74
8.90
9.13
9.35
9.49
9.56
9.67
9.79
9.86
9.96
10.10
10.26
10.38
10.54
10.72
10.87
11.06
11.22
1.6%
Lease and Plant Fuel 2/
1.16
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.32
1.32
1.33
1.33
1.36
1.37
1.39
1.42
1.45
1.47
1.49
1.51
1.52
1.52
1.55
1.57
1.59
1.63
1.69
1.70
1.72
1.74
1.5%
Natural Gas Subtotal
9.65
8.94
9.47
9.62
9.62
9.67
9.85
9.99
10.10
10.27
10.52
10.77
10.94
11.03
11.16
11.30
11.38
11.49
11.65
11.83
11.97
12.17
12.41
12.58
12.78
12.96
1.6%
Steam Coal
1.46
1.42
1.35
1.38
1.39
1.39
1.39
1.41
1.42
1.43
1.44
1.45
1.46
1.47
1.48
1.48
1.48
1.49
1.49
1.50
1.50
1.51
1.51
1.52
1.53
1.53
0.3%
Metallurgical Coal & Coke 3/
0.86
0.74
0.66
0.72
0.73
0.73
0.74
0.75
0.77
0.77
0.77
0.77
0.77
0.77
0.76
0.75
0.74
0.73
0.73
0.72
0.71
0.70
0.70
0.69
0.69
0.68
-0.3%
Residual Fuel
0.24
0.23
0.19
0.20
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.18
0.18
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
-0.4%
Distillate
1.12
1.13
1.08
1.09
1.10
1.11
1.12
1.15
1.17
1.19
1.21
1.23
1.25
1.26
1.27
1.29
1.30
1.31
1.32
1.34
1.36
1.37
1.39
1.41
1.43
1.45
1.0%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
2.30
2.10
2.23
2.26
2.30
2.30
2.32
2.36
2.40
2.47
2.55
2.63
2.71
2.78
2.83
2.87
2.90
2.94
2.99
3.05
3.10
3.14
3.19
3.23
3.28
3.33
1.9%
Petrochemical Feedstocks
1.32
1.14
1.21
1.25
1.27
1.27
1.29
1.32
1.35
1.39
1.43
1.47
1.51
1.53
1.56
1.58
1.59
1.62
1.64
1.67
1.69
1.72
1.74
1.77
1.79
1.82
2.0%
Other Petroleum 4/
4.11
4.18
4.30
4.22
4.33
4.30
4.31
4.36
4.39
4.44
4.47
4.48
4.50
4.51
4.55
4.53
4.56
4.60
4.61
4.65
4.67
4.69
4.72
4.74
4.76
4.79
0.6%
Renewables 5/
1.86
1.82
1.80
1.86
1.92
1.95
1.99
2.03
2.08
2.15
2.22
2.29
2.35
2.40
2.46
2.51
2.56
2.61
2.66
2.72
2.77
2.82
2.88
2.94
3.00
3.05
2.2%
Delivered Energy
26.55
25.10
25.46
25.94
26.24
26.36
26.74
27.20
27.64
28.14
28.76
29.34
29.81
30.16
30.54
30.84
31.10
31.43
31.80
32.25
32.61
33.02
33.51
33.92
34.40
34.81
1.4%
Electricity Related Losses
8.27
7.57
6.92
7.22
7.37
7.45
7.60
7.80
7.97
8.08
8.23
8.36
8.46
8.56
8.64
8.70
8.76
8.83
8.90
8.99
9.08
9.14
9.24
9.33
9.44
9.54
1.0%
Total
34.82
32.67
32.38
33.16
33.61
33.82
34.34
35.00
35.60
36.22
36.99
37.70
38.27
38.72
39.18
39.54
39.86
40.26
40.70
41.24
41.69
42.17
42.75
43.24
43.84
44.35
1.3%
                                                       
Energy Consumption per dollar of Shipments 1/                                                      
(thousand Btu per 1996 dollar)                                                      
Purchased Electricity
0.63
0.63
0.59
0.60
0.59
0.59
0.59
0.58
0.58
0.57
0.57
0.56
0.56
0.55
0.55
0.54
0.54
0.53
0.53
0.52
0.52
0.51
0.51
0.50
0.50
0.49
-1.0%
Natural Gas
1.48
1.43
1.54
1.50
1.44
1.42
1.41
1.38
1.35
1.33
1.31
1.30
1.28
1.25
1.23
1.22
1.20
1.19
1.18
1.17
1.16
1.15
1.14
1.13
1.12
1.11
-1.0%
Lease and Plant Fuel 2/
0.20
0.22
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.22
0.22
0.21
0.21
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.17
0.17
-1.1%
Natural Gas Subtotal
1.69
1.65
1.78
1.74
1.67
1.64
1.63
1.59
1.56
1.53
1.51
1.50
1.47
1.44
1.42
1.41
1.39
1.37
1.36
1.35
1.34
1.33
1.32
1.31
1.29
1.28
-1.1%
Steam Coal
0.26
0.26
0.25
0.25
0.24
0.24
0.23
0.22
0.22
0.21
0.21
0.20
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.15
0.15
-2.3%
Metallurgical Coal & Coke 3/
0.15
0.14
0.12
0.13
0.13
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
-2.9%
Residual Fuel
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
-3.0%
Distillate
0.20
0.21
0.20
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.14
0.14
-1.6%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
0.40
0.39
0.42
0.41
0.40
0.39
0.38
0.38
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.33
0.33
-0.7%
Petrochemical Feedstocks
0.23
0.21
0.23
0.23
0.22
0.22
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.18
0.18
0.18
-0.7%
Other Petroleum 4/
0.72
0.77
0.81
0.76
0.75
0.73
0.71
0.70
0.68
0.66
0.64
0.62
0.61
0.59
0.58
0.56
0.56
0.55
0.54
0.53
0.52
0.51
0.50
0.49
0.48
0.47
-2.0%
Renewables 5/
0.33
0.33
0.34
0.34
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.30
0.30
0.30
-0.4%
Delivered Energy
4.64
4.63
4.78
4.68
4.56
4.48
4.41
4.33
4.26
4.20
4.13
4.08
4.01
3.95
3.89
3.84
3.80
3.76
3.72
3.68
3.64
3.61
3.56
3.52
3.47
3.44
-1.2%
Electricity Related Losses
1.45
1.40
1.30
1.30
1.28
1.27
1.25
1.24
1.23
1.21
1.18
1.16
1.14
1.12
1.10
1.08
1.07
1.06
1.04
1.03
1.01
1.00
0.98
0.97
0.95
0.94
-1.6%
Total
6.09
6.02
6.07
5.98
5.84
5.75
5.67
5.57
5.49
5.40
5.32
5.24
5.15
5.07
4.99
4.92
4.87
4.81
4.76
4.70
4.65
4.60
4.55
4.49
4.43
4.38
-1.3%

1/ Fuel consumption includes energy for combined heat and power plants, except those whose primary business is to sell electricity, or electricity and heat, to the public.
2/ Represents natural gas used in the field gathering and processing plant machinery.
3/ Includes net coke coal imports.
4/ Includes petroleum coke, asphalt, road oil, lubricants, motor gasoline, still gas, and miscellaneous petroleum products.
5/ Includes consumption of energy from hydroelectric, wood and wood waste, municipal solid waste, and other biomass.
Btu = British thermal unit.
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2000 and 2001 are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports.
Sources: 2000 prices for motor gasoline and distillate are based on prices in the Energy Information Administration (EIA), Petroleum Marketing Annual 2000,
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/petroleum_marketing_annual/historical/(August 2001). 2001 prices for motor gasoline and distillate are based on prices in the Petroleum Marketing Annual 2001, http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/petroleum_marketing_annual/current/pdf/pmaall.pdf (September 2002). 2000 and 2001 coal prices are based on EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2001, DOE/EIA-0121(2001/4Q) (Washington, DC, May 2002), and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. 2000 and 2001 electricity prices: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. 2000 and 2001 prices for natural gas based on: EIA, Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey 1998. 2000 and 2001 consumption values based on: EIA, Annual Energy Review 2001, DOE/EIA-0384(2001) (Washington, DC, November 2002). 2000 and 2001 shipments: Global Insight macroeconomic model CTL0802. Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.