Annual Energy Outlook 2003 with Projections to 2025
Reference Case

Table 10. Electricity Trade
(Billion Kilowatthours, Unless Otherwise Noted)

Electricity Trade 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2001-
2025
Interregional Electricity Trade                                                      
                                                       
Gross Domestic Firm Power Sales
157.0
142.7
138.9
136.7
132.4
125.3
117.0
117.0
115.0
114.4
102.9
91.5
80.0
68.6
57.2
45.7
34.3
22.9
11.4
5.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Gross Domestic Economy Sales
148.4
176.8
169.9
200.5
202.6
202.8
204.8
201.2
196.0
203.3
199.8
198.2
190.1
188.5
186.2
191.9
184.8
191.5
185.3
186.4
180.0
182.4
172.6
182.1
166.4
177.9
0.0%
Gross Domestic Trade
305.3
319.5
308.8
337.2
335.0
328.1
321.8
318.2
311.0
317.6
302.8
289.7
270.2
257.2
243.4
237.6
219.1
214.4
196.7
192.2
180.0
182.4
172.6
182.1
166.4
177.9
-2.4%
                                                       
Gross Domestic Firm Power Sales                                                      
(million 2001 dollars)
7748.5
7047.1
6854.9
6746.9
6537.8
6185.7
5775.6
5774.3
5679.0
5645.5
5080.9
4516.4
3951.8
3387.3
2822.7
2258.2
1693.6
1129.1
564.5
282.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Gross Domestic Economy Sales                                                      
(million 2001 dollars)
6305.6
8240.1
4918.3
6032.4
5932.1
5806.3
5750.9
5590.8
5776.6
6094.4
6203.2
6206.6
6101.7
6111.2
6090.2
6295.4
6108.6
6331.8
6099.5
6173.8
6063.7
6205.3
5890.0
6289.3
5778.7
6238.5
-1.2%
Gross Domestic Sales                                                      
(million 2001 dollars)
14054.1
15287.3
11773.2
12779.3
12469.9
11992.0
11526.4
11365.1
11455.6
11739.9
11284.1
10723.0
10053.6
9498.5
8912.9
8553.6
7802.2
7460.9
6664.1
6456.0
6063.7
6205.3
5890.0
6289.3
5778.7
6238.5
-3.7%
                                                       
International Electricity Trade                                                      
                                                       
Firm Power Imports from Canada and Mexico
16.0
12.1
14.7
13.6
11.1
10.7
6.7
6.7
6.7
6.5
5.8
5.2
4.5
3.9
3.2
2.6
1.9
1.3
0.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Economy Imports from Canada and Mexico
27.8
26.3
24.7
32.7
35.8
37.6
32.5
34.6
37.1
35.4
38.7
37.8
38.2
36.1
33.7
34.9
32.5
29.4
25.6
21.7
24.4
21.0
18.0
16.2
15.6
14.4
-2.5%
Gross Imports from Canada and Mexico
43.8
38.5
39.4
46.3
46.9
48.3
39.2
41.3
43.8
41.9
44.5
43.0
42.8
40.0
36.9
37.5
34.4
30.7
26.2
22.0
24.4
21.0
18.0
16.2
15.6
14.4
-4.0%
 
Firm Power Exports to Canada and Mexico
6.5
6.5
6.5
6.0
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
9.7
8.7
7.8
6.8
5.8
4.8
3.9
2.9
1.9
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
N/A
Economy Exports to Canada and Mexico
6.7
11.7
6.6
6.7
6.9
7.0
7.1
7.2
7.4
7.5
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
-1.7%
Gross Exports to Canada and Mexico
13.2
18.2
13.1
12.7
16.6
16.7
16.8
16.9
17.1
17.2
16.4
15.4
14.4
13.5
12.5
11.5
10.6
9.6
8.6
8.1
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
7.7
-3.5%

N/A = Not applicable.
Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2000 and 2001 are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports. Firm
Power Sales are capacity sales, meaning the delivery of the power is scheduled as part of the normal operating conditions of the affected capacity sales, meaning the delivery of the
power is scheduled as part of the normal operating conditions of the affected electric systems. Economy Sales are subject to curtailment or cessation of delivery by the supplier
in accordance with prior agreements or under specified conditions.
Sources: 2000 interregional firm electricity trade data: North American Electric Reliability Council (NERC), Electricity Sales and Demand Database 1999. 2000 international electricity
trade data: DOE Form FE-718R, "Annual Report of International Electrical Export/Import Data." 2000 firm/economy share: National Energy Board, Annual Report 2000. 2001 and
Projections: Energy Information Administration, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.