Table 24. Forecasts of average annual growth in
transportation energy demand (percent)

 

History

 

Projections

Forecast

1975-
1985

1985-
1997

 

AEO2001
(1999-
2020)

DRI
(1999-
2020)

GRI
(1998-
2015)

WEFA
(1999-
2020)

Consumption

Motor gasoline

0.2

1.4

 

1.4

1.7

1.1

0.7

Diesel fuel

4.2

3.3

 

2.3

1.2

1.9

1.2

Jet fuel

2.1

2.4

 

2.6

3.1

2.5

3.0

Residual fuel

1.0

-0.7

 

0.8

2.2

3.2

2.5

All energy

1.0

2.7

 

1.8

1.9

1.2

1.1

Key indicators

Car and light
truck travel

2.9

3.1

 

1.9

1.9

1.5

1.6

Air travel
(revenue
passenger-miles)

7.3

4.9

 

3.6

4.3

3.0

3.7

Average new car fuel efficiency

5.5

0.4

 

0.7

0.4

2.1

0.5

Gasoline prices

0.5

-2.7

 

0.6

0.3

0.9

0.2

NA = not available.
Source:  History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), State Energy Data Report 1997, DOE/EIA-0214(97) (Washington, DC, September 1999); EIA, State Energy Price and Expenditures Report 1997, DOE/EIA-0376(97) (Washington, DC, July 2000); Federal Highway Administration, Highway Statistics, various issues, Table VM-1; U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Transportation Energy Data Book #19, ORNL-6958 (Oak Ridge, TN, September 1999); and National Highway Transportation Safety Administration, Summary of Fuel Economy Performance (Washington, DC, February 2000). AEO2001: Table A2. DRI: Standard & Poor’s DRI, U.S. Energy Outlook (Spring/Summer 2000). GRI: Gas Research Institute, GRI Baseline Projection of U.S. Energy Supply and Demand, 2000 Edition (January 2000). WEFA: The WEFA Group, U.S. Energy Outlook (2000).

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