Table 22. Forecasts of average annual growth in
residential and commercial
energy demand (percent)
|
History |
Projections |
|||||
|
Forecast |
1984- |
AEO2001 |
DRI |
GRI |
WEFA |
|
|
Residential |
||||||
|
Petroleum |
-0.1 |
-0.7 |
0.2 |
-0.3 |
-0.6 |
|
|
Natural gas |
0.0 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
|
|
Electricity |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
|
|
Delivered energy |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
|
|
Electricity losses |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
Primary energy |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
|
|
Commercial |
||||||
|
Petroleum |
-4.3 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-1.3 |
-0.5 |
|
|
Natural gas |
1.3 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
|
|
Electricity |
3.4 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
|
|
Delivered energy |
1.4 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
|
|
Electricity losses |
3.0 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
|
|
Primary energy |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
|
| History: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Review 1999, DOE/EIA-0384(99) (Washington, DC, July 2000). AEO2001: Table A2. DRI: Standard & Poor’s DRI, U.S. Energy Outlook (Spring/Summer 2000). GRI: Gas Research Institute, GRI Baseline Projection of U.S. Energy Supply and Demand, 2000 Edition (January 2000). WEFA: The WEFA Group, U.S. Energy Outlook (2000). | ||||||