Table 21. Forecasts of average annual growth rates
for energy consumption (percent)

 

History

 

Projections

Energy use

1974-
1984

1984-
1998

 

AEO2001
(1999-
2020)

DRI
(1999-
2020)

GRI
(1998-
2015)

WEFA
(1999-
2020)

Petroleum*

-0.1

1.3

 

1.5

1.6

1.2

1.1

Natural gas*

-1.7

1.4

 

1.4

1.2

1.8

1.0

Coal*

-3.0

-1.8

 

0.2

0.0

-0.8

-0.2

Electricity

3.0

2.5

 

1.8

1.4

2.0

1.6

Delivered energy

-0.2

1.4

 

1.5

1.4

1.4

1.1

Electricity losses

2.5

1.8

 

0.9

0.3

1.1

0.2

Primary energy

0.4

1.5

 

1.3

1.1

1.3

0.8

*Excludes consumption by electric utilities.
Source:  History: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Review 1999, DOE/EIA-0384(99) (Washington, DC, July 2000). AEO2001: Table A2. DRI: Standard & Poor’s DRI, U.S. Energy Outlook (Spring/Summer 2000). GRI: Gas Research Institute, GRI Baseline Projection of U.S. Energy Supply and Demand, 2000 Edition (January 2000). WEFA: The WEFA Group, U.S. Energy Outlook (2000). Note: Delivered energy includes petroleum, natural gas, coal, and electricity (excluding generation and transmission losses) consumed in the residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation sectors.

Back to Forecast Comparisons