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Delivered
Energy Consumption Projections by Industry
in the Annual Energy Outlook 2002
Table
5. Industry Output Growth Rates, History and Projections, 1978-2020
|
Industry
|
Average Annual Output Growth Rate, 1978-2000 (Percent)
|
2000 Gross Output
(Billion 1992 Dollars)
|
2020 Gross Output
(Billion 1992 Dollars)
|
Average Annual Output Growth Rate, 2000-2020 (Percent)
|
|
Energy-Intensive Manufacturing
|
1.0
|
1,100.2
|
1,410.2
|
1.2
|
|
Food
|
1.8
|
479.5
|
624.8
|
1.3
|
|
Paper
|
2.0
|
154.5
|
214.3
|
1.6
|
|
Bulk Chemicals
|
0.6
|
178.7
|
223.2
|
1.1
|
|
Petroleum Refining
|
-0.3
|
152.6
|
181.1
|
0.9
|
|
Glass
|
1.1
|
22.9
|
29.3
|
1.2
|
|
Cement
|
0.5
|
5.6
|
7.1
|
1.2
|
|
Steel
|
-0.9
|
70.4
|
84.6
|
0.9
|
|
Aluminum
|
0.2
|
36.1
|
45.9
|
1.2
|
|
Non-Intensive Manufacturing
|
2.4
|
2,922.2
|
5,592.8
|
3.3
|
|
Metal-Based Durables
|
2.9
|
1,830.3
|
3,983.6
|
4.0
|
|
Balance of Manufacturing
|
1.6
|
1,091.9
|
1,609.1
|
2.0
|
|
Total Manufacturing
|
2.0
|
4,022.4
|
7,003.0
|
2.8
|
|
Non-Manufacturing
|
1.9
|
1,039.2
|
1,444.4
|
1.7
|
|
AgricultureCrops
|
2.0
|
118.0
|
153.1
|
1.3
|
|
AgricultureOther
|
2.7
|
185.2
|
232.5
|
1.1
|
|
Coal Mining
|
2.5
|
29.1
|
36.0
|
1.1
|
|
Oil and Gas Extraction
|
-0.2
|
107.4
|
140.5
|
1.3
|
|
Other Mining
|
1.0
|
29.0
|
35.9
|
1.1
|
|
Construction
|
2.1
|
570.4
|
846.5
|
2.0
|
|
Total Industrial
|
1.9
|
5,061.6
|
8,447.4
|
2.6
|
|
Real GDP (Billion 1996 Dollars)
|
3.1
|
9,224.0
|
16,525.5
|
3.0
|
|
Note:
Totals and percentages calculated from unrounded data.
Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook
2002, DOE/EIA-0383(2002) (Washington, DC, December 2001).
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