|
Report
#: DOE/EIA-0581(2003 Released March 4, 2003 Report
Contents Annual
Energy Outlook 2003 |
The
National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2003 Preface The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2003 provides a summary description of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), which was used to generate the forecasts of energy production, demand, imports, and prices through the year 2025 for the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 (AEO2003), (DOE/EIA-0383(2003)), released in January 2003. AEO2003 presents national forecasts of energy markets for five primary cases—a reference case and four additional cases that assume higher and lower economic growth and higher and lower world oil prices than in the reference case. The Overview presents a brief description of the methodology and scope of each of the component modules of NEMS. The model documentation reports listed in the appendix of this document provide further details. The Overview was prepared by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting under the direction of Mary J. Hutzler (mhutzler@eia.doe.gov, 202/586-2222), Director of the Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting; Scott Sitzer (ssitzer@eia.doe.gov, 202/586-2308), Director of the Coal and Electric Power Division; John J. Conti (john.conti@eia.doe.gov, 202-586-4430), Director, International, Economic, and Greenhouse Gases Division; Paul D. Holtberg (paul.holtberg@eia.doe.gov, 202/586-1284), Director of the Demand and Integration Division; James M. Kendell (jkendell@eia.doe.gov, 202/586-9646), Director of the Oil and Gas Division; and Andy S. Kydes (akydes@eia.doe.gov, 202/586-2222), Senior Technical Advisor. Detailed questions concerning NEMS may be addressed to the following analysts:
AEO2003 is available on the EIA Home Page on the Internet (http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html). Assumptions underlying the projections are available in Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 at http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/assumption/index.html. Tables of regional projections and other underlying details of the reference case are available at http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/supplement/index.html. Model documentation reports and The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2003 are also available on the Home Page at http://www.eia.doe.gov/bookshelf/docs.html. For ordering information and for questions on energy statistics, please contact EIA’s National Energy Information Center. National Energy Information Center, EI-30 |