Home > Forecasts & Analysis > Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2009 > Transportation Demand Module Notes

Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2009
 

Transportation Demand Module

[1] U.S. Department of Transportation, National Highway Traffic and Safety Administration, “Summary of Fuel Economy Performance”, (Washington, DC, March 2004). 

[2] Goldberg, Pinelopi Koujianou, “Product Differentiation and Oligopoly In International Markets: The Case of The U.S. Automobile Industry,” Econometrica, Vol. 63, No.4 (July, 1995), 891-951. 

[3] Oak Ridge National Laboratory, “Fleet Characteristics And Data Issues,” Davis, Stacy C, Lorena Truett, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, (Oak Ridge, TN, january 2003). 

[4] Bobit Publishing Company, The Fleet Fact Book, various issues (Redondo Beech, California). 

[5] Bobit Publishing Company, Note 4. 

[6] Davis, Stacy C., Lorena F. Truett, “Investigation of Class 2B Trucks (Vehicles of 8,500 to 10,000 LBS GVWR),” Oak Ridge National Laboratory, ORNL/TM-2002/49, March 2002. 

[7] Davis, Stacy C., Lorena F. Truett, op.cit., Note 6. 

[8] Greenspan, Alan, and Darrel Cohen, “Motor Vehicle Stocks, Scrappage, and Sales,” Federal Reserve Board (Washington, DC, October 30, 1996). 

[9] Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Transportation Energy Data Book: 27 and Annual (Oak Ridge, TN, 2008). 

[10] Davis, Stacy C., Lorena F. Truett, op.cit., Note 6. 

[11] Greene, David L. and S.M. Chin, “Alternative Fuels and Vehicles (AFV) Model Changes,” Center for Transportation Analysis, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, (Oak Ridge, TN, November 14, 2000). 

[12] U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, prepared by Interlaboratory Working Group, Scenarios of U.S. Carbon Reductions: Potential Impacts of Energy Technologies by 2010 and Beyond, (Washington, DC, 1998). 

[13]  Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc., Updates to the Fuel Economy Model (FEM) and Advanced Technology Vehicle (ATV) Module of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) Transportation Model, Prepared for the Energy Information Administration (EIA), (Arlington, VA, October 23, 2000). 

[14]  Energy Information Administration, Alternatives to Traditional Transportation Fuels 2005, hhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alternate/page/aftables/afvtransfuel_II.html #in use. 

[15] Energy Information Administration, State Energy Data 2005 Consumption as downloaded July 2008, from http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/states/_Seds.html.  

[16] Decision Analysis Corporation of Virginia, “Re-estimation of Freight Adjustment Coefficients,” Report prepared for the Energy Information Administration (EIA), February 28, 1995). 

[17] Reebie Associates, TRANSEARCH Freight Commodity Flow Database, (Greenwich, CT, 1992). 

[18] U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Census, Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey, EC97TV, (Washington, DC, October 1999). 

[19] Vyas, A., C. Saricks, and F. Stodolsky, “The Potential Effect of Future Energy Efficiency and Emissions Improving Technology on Fuel Consumption of Heavy Trucks,” Argonne National Laboratory, (Argonne, IL, 2002). 

[20] Davis, Stacy C., “Memorandum on the Distribution of Trucks by Age and Weight: 2000 Truck Population,” Oak Ridge National Laboratory, (Oak Ridge, TN, November 2001) 

[21] Davis, Stacy C., op. cit., Note 20. 

[22] Schmoyer, Rick, “Scrappage of Heavy Trucks - Estimates for the Year 2000,” Oak Ridge National Laboratory, DRAFT, (Oak Ridge, TN, June 2001).  

[23] Decision Analysis Corporation of Virginia, op. cit. Note 19. 

[24] Reebie Associates, op. cit., Note 17. 

[25] Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Op. cit. Note 9. 

[26] U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Railroad Administration, “1989 Carload Waybill Statistics; Territorial Distribution, Traffic and Revenue by Commodity Classes,” (September 1991 and Prior issues). 

[27] Energy Information Administration, op. cit., Note 15. 

[28] Army Corps of Engineers, Waterborne Commerce of the United States, (Waterborne Statistics Center: New Orleans, LA, 1993). 

[29] Energy Information Administration, op. cit., Note 15. 

[30] Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Office of Airline Information, Air Carrier Summary Data (Form 41, Schedules T-1 and T-2), (2007). http://www.transtats.bts.gov/DataIndex.asp; link: Air Carrier Summary Data (Form 41 and 298C Summary Data). 

[31]  Bureau of Transportation Statistics, op. cit., Note 30. 

[32] U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration, Airport Capacity Benchmark Report, 2004 (2004). 

[33] Jet Information Services Inc., World Jet Inventory: Year-End 2007, (December 2007). 

[34] Bureau of Transportation Statistics, op. cit., Note 30. 

[35] Energy Information Administration, op. cit. Note 14 

[36] Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc., “Documentation of Technologies Included in the NEMS Fuel Economy Model for Passenger Cars and Light Trucks,” Prepared for the Energy Information Administration, (Arlington, VA, September 30, 2002). 

[37] Vyas, A., C. Saricks, and F. Stodolsky, “Projected Effect of Future Efficiency and Emissions Improving Technologies on Fuel Consumption of Heavy Trucks,” Argonne National Laboratory, (Argonne, IL, 2001).