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Emissions of Greenhouse Gases in the United States 2004 - Executive Summary
 

 

Trends in U.S. Carbon Intensity and Total Greenhouse Gas Intensity 

From 2003 to 2004, the greenhouse gas intensity of the U.S. economy fell from 677 to 662 metric tons per million 2000 dollars of GDP (2.1 percent), continuing a trend of decreases in both carbon intensity (see figure at right) and total greenhouse gas intensity. As shown in the table below, declines in carbon intensity by decade have ranged from a low of 3.3 percent in the 1960s to 25.6 percent in the 1980s. From 1990 to 2004, total U.S. greenhouse gas intensity fell by 23.5 percent, at an average rate of 1.9 percent per year. 

Historical Growth Rates for U.S. Carbon Intensity 
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Decade 

Overall
Change in Intensity (Percent) 

Average Annual Change in Intensity (Percent) 

Carbon Dioxide 

Total GHG 

Carbon Dioxide 

Total GHG 

History 
  1950-1960 
-12.9 
— 
-1.4 
— 
  1960-1970 
  -3.3 
— 
-0.3 
— 
  1970-1980 
-17.7 
— 
-1.9 
— 
  1980-1990 
-25.6 
— 
-2.7 
— 
   1990-2000 
-15.3 
-17.9 
-1.6 
-1.9 
Intensity Ratios: Carbon/GDP, Carbon/Energy, and Energy/GDP Figure.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
Figure Data

The carbon intensity and greenhouse gas intensity of the U.S. economy move in lockstep, because carbon dioxide emissions make up most of the total for U.S. greenhouse gas emissions. Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions represent approximately 80 percent of total U.S. greenhouse gas emissions. As such, trends in energy-related carbon dioxide emissions have a significant impact on trends in total greenhouse gas emissions. Historical trends in U.S. carbon intensity (energy-related carbon dioxide emissions per unit of economic output) are described below. 

The carbon intensity of the economy can largely be decomposed into two basic elements: (1) energy intensity, defined as the amount of energy consumed per dollar of economic activity; and (2) carbon intensity of energy supply, defined as the amount of carbon emitted per unit of energy. As illustrated by the formulas below, the multiplication of the two elements produces a numerical value for U.S. carbon intensity, defined as the amount of carbon dioxide emitted per dollar of economic activity: 

Energy Intensity x Carbon Intensity of Energy Supply = Carbon Intensity of the Economy   , 

or, algebraically, 

(Energy/GDP) x (Carbon Emissions/Energy) =
(Carbon Emissions/GDP)   . 

Components of Energy Intensity. Since World War II the U.S. economy has been moving away from traditional “smokestack” industries toward more service-based or information-based enterprises. This has meant that over the second half of the 20th century economic growth was less tied to growth in energy demand than it was during the period of industrialization in the 19th and early 20th century. Other factors contributing to decreases in energy intensity include: 

  • Improvements in the energy efficiency of industrial equipment as new materials and methods improved performance in terms of energy inputs versus outputs 
  • Increased efficiency of transportation equipment as lighter materials and more efficient engines entered the marketplace 
  • Improvements in commercial and residential lighting, refrigeration, and heating and cooling equipment 
  • Developments in new electricity generating technologies, such as combined-cycle turbines. 

Further reductions in energy intensity, which are projected to continue, will among other things promote deeper reductions in U.S. carbon intensity. 

Components of the Carbon Intensity of Energy Supply. Changes in the carbon intensity of energy supply have been less dramatic than changes in energy intensity. There was a slow but steady decline from 1980 until about the mid-1990s, after which it has remained relatively unchanged. The primary reason for the decline has been the development of nuclear power, which is carbon-free and therefore weights the fuel mix toward lower carbon intensity. Other factors that can decrease the carbon intensity of the energy supply include: 

  • Development of new renewable resources, such as wind power, for electricity generation 
  • Substitution of natural gas for coal and oil in power generation 
  • Transportation fuels with a higher biogenic component, such as ethanol.

Units for Measuring Greenhouse Gases 

Emissions data are reported here in metric units, as favored by the international scientific community. Metric tons are relatively intuitive for users of English measurement units, because 1 metric ton is only about 10 percent heavier than 1 English short ton. 

Table ES1 shows emissions of greenhouse gases in terms of the full molecular weights of the native gases. In Table ES2, and subsequently throughout this report, emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are given in carbon dioxide equivalents. In the case of carbon dioxide, emissions denominated in the molecular weight of the gas or in carbon dioxide equivalents are the same. Carbon dioxide equivalent data can be converted to carbon equivalents by multiplying by 12/44. 

Emissions of other greenhouse gases (such as methane) can also be measured in carbon dioxide equivalent units by multiplying their emissions (in metric tons) by their global warming potentials (GWPs). Carbon dioxide equivalents are the amount of carbon dioxide by weight emitted into the atmosphere that would produce the same estimated radiative forcing as a given weight of another radiatively active gas. 

Carbon dioxide equivalents are computed by multiplying the weight of the gas being measured (for example, methane) by its estimated GWP (which is 23 for methane).

Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the U.S. Economy 

The diagram on page 10 illustrates the flow of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions in 2004, from their sources to their distribution across the U.S end-use sectors. The left side shows gases and quantities; the right side shows their distribution by sector. The center of the diagram indicates the split between emissions from direct fuel combustion and electricity conversion. Adjustments indicated at the top of the diagram for U.S. territories and international bunker fuels correspond to greenhouse gas reporting requirements developed by the UNFCCC. 

CO2. CO2 emission sources include energy-related emissions (primarily from fossil fuel combustion) and emissions from industrial processes. The energy subtotal (5,900 MMTCO2e) includes petroleum, coal, and natural gas consumption and smaller amounts from renewable sources, including municipal solid waste and geothermal power generation. The energy subtotal also includes emissions from nonfuel uses of fossil fuels, mainly as inputs to other products. Industrial process emissions (105 MMTCO2e) include cement manufacture, limestone and dolomite calcination, soda ash manufacture and consumption, carbon dioxide manufacture, and aluminum production. The sum of the energy subtotal and industrial processes equals unadjusted CO2 emissions (6,005 MMTCO2e). The energy component of unadjusted emissions can be divided into direct fuel use (3,601 MMTCO2e) and fuel converted to electricity (2,299 MMTCO2e). 

Non-CO2Gases. Methane (639 MMTCO2e) and nitrous oxide (354 MMTCO2e) sources include emissions related to energy, agriculture, waste management, and industrial processes. Other gases (156 MMTCO2e) include HFCs, PFCs, and SF6. These gases have a variety of uses in the U.S. economy, including refrigerants, insulators, solvents, and aerosols; as etching, cleaning, and firefighting agents; and as cover gases in various manufacturing processes. 

Adjustments. In keeping with the UNFCCC, CO2 emissions from U.S. Territories (62 MMTCO2e) are added to the U.S. total, and CO2 emissions from fuels used for international transport (both oceangoing vessels and airplanes) (94 MMTCO2e) are subtracted to derive total U.S. greenhouse gas emissions (7,122 MMTCO2e). 

Emissions by End-Use Sector. CO2 emissions by end-use sectors are based on EIA’s estimates of energy consumption (direct fuel use and purchased electricity) by sector and on the attribution of industrial process  emissions by sector. CO2 emissions from purchased electricity are allocated to the end-use sectors based on their shares of total electricity sales. Non-CO2 gases are allocated by direct emissions in those sectors plus emissions in the electric power sector that can be attributed to the end-use sectors based on electricity sales. 

Residential emissions (1,241 MMTCO2e) include energy-related CO2 emissions (1,225 MMTCO2e); and non-CO2 emissions (16 MMTCO2e). The non-CO2 sources include direct methane and nitrous oxide emissions from direct fuel use. Non-CO2 indirect emissions attributable to purchased electricity, including methane and nitrous oxide emissions from electric power generation and SF6 emissions related to electricity transmission and distribution, are also included. 

Commercial sector emissions (1,298 MMTCO2e) include energy-related CO2 emissions (1,035 MMTCO2e); and non-CO2 emissions (263 MMTCO2e). The non-CO2 emissions include direct emissions from landfills, wastewater treatment plants, commercial refrigerants, and stationary combustion emissions of methane and nitrous oxide. Non-CO2 indirect emissions attributable to purchased electricity, including methane and nitrous oxide emissions from electric power generation and SF6 emissions related to electricity transmission and distribution, are also included. 

Flow Chart Graph.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Industrial emissions (2,599 MMTCO2e) include CO2 emissions (1,853 MMTCO2e), which can be broken down between stationary source combustion (1,748 MMTCO2e) and industrial emissions (105 MMTCO2e); and non-CO2 emissions (746 MMTCO2e). The non-CO2 direct emissions include emissions from agriculture (methane and nitrous oxide), coal mines (methane), petroleum and natural gas pipelines (methane), industrial process emissions (methane, nitrous oxide, HFCs, PFCs and SF6), and direct stationary combustion emissions of methane and nitrous oxide. Non-CO2 indirect emissions attributable to purchased electricity, including methane and nitrous oxide emissions from electric power generation and SF6 emissions related to electricity transmission and distribution, are also included. 

Transportation emissions (1,984 MMTCO2e) include energy-related CO2 emissions from mobile source combustion (1,869 MMTCO2e); and non-CO2 emissions (124 MMTCO2e). The non-CO2 emissions include methane and nitrous oxide emissions from mobile source combustion and HFC emissions from the use of refrigerants for mobile source air-conditioning units.