Petroleum Products Supply Model Variable Definitions

Short-Term Energy Outlook

Petroleum Products Supply Model Variable Definitions

Related Petroleum Products Supply Model Documentation

Variable Name Units Definition Source

History Forecast

ABRIPUS MMBD Refinery inputs of aviation gasoline blend components PSM ROT

COCQPUS MMBD Strategic Petroleum Reserve fill rate from foreign sources PSM SPO

CODIPUS MMBD Gross inputs to crude distillation units PSM STF

CODQPUS MMBD Strategic Petroleum Reserve fill rate from domestic sources PSM SPO

COLOPUS MMBD Crude oil losses PSM ROT

CONIPUS MMBD Net imports of crude oil (including SPR) PSM STF

CONQPUS MMBD Strategic Petroleum Reserve net withdrawal rate PSM SPO

CONXPUS MMBD Net imports of crude oil (excluding SPR) PSM STF

COPRPUS MMBD Total U.S. crude oil production PSM OOG

COQMPUS MMBD Strategic Petroleum Reserve Imports PSM SPO

CORIPUS MMBD Refinery inputs of crude oil PSM STF

COSQPUS MMB Strategic Petroleum Reserve end-of-month inventory PSM STF

COSXPUS MMB Stocks of crude oil PSM EXO

COTCPUS MMBD Demand for unprocessed crude oil PSM STF

COUNPUS MMBD Unaccounted crude oil PSM STF

COWQPUS MMBD Strategic Petroleum Reserve withdrawal rate for domestic sale PSM SPO

D2WHUUS CPG Wholesale price of no. 2 heating oil PMM STF

D8912 INT = 1 if December 1989, 0 otherwise

D9101ON INT = 1 if January 1991 or later, 0 otherwise

D9301 INT = 1 if January 1993, 0 otherwise

D94ON INT = 1 if January 1994 or later, 0 otherwise

D98ON INT = 1 if January 1998 or later, 0 otherwise

DFNIPUS MMBD Net imports of distillate fuel oil PSM STF

DFPSPUS MMB Stocks of distillate fuel oil PSM EXO

DFPSPUSA MMB DFPSPUS seasonally adjusted STF STF

DFROPUS MMBD Refinery output of distillate fuel oil PSM STF

DFYLD FRAC Refinery yield of distillate fuel oil STF STF

DUMYRPP FRAC Annual average of PPRIPUS / MGROPUS STF ROT

DY9697 INT = 1 if February 1996 through August 1997, 0 otherwise

EOFPPUS MMBD Field production of fuel ethanol PSM STF

EONIPUS MMBD Fuel ethanol net imports PSM ROT

EOPRPUS MMB Ethanol plant production PSM STF

EOPSPUS MMB Stocks of fuel ethanol PSM ROT

EOTCPUS MMBD Demand for fuel ethanol PSM STF

JFNIPUS MMBD Net imports of jet fuel PSM STF

JFPSPUS MMB Stocks of jet fuel PSM EXO

JFPSPUSA MMBD JFPSPUS seasonally adjusted STF STF

JFROPUS MMBD Refinery output of jet fuel PSM STF

JFYLD FRAC Refinery yield of jet fuel STF STF

JKTCUUS CPG Price of kerosene-based jet fuel PMM STF

LGFPPUS MMBD Field production of LPGs PSM STF

LGNIPUS MMBD Net imports of LPGs PSM STF

LGPSPUS MMB Stocks of LPGs PSM EXO

LGRIPUS MMBD Refinery inputs of LPGs PSM STF

LGROPUS MMBD Refinery output of LPGs PSM STF

LGYLD FRAC Refinery yield of LPGs STF STF

MBFPPUS MMBD Field production of motor gasoline blend components PSM STF

MBPSPUS MMB Stocks of motor gasoline blend components PSM EXO

MBRIPUS MMB Refinery inputs of motor gasoline blend components PSM STF

MGFPPUS MMBD Field production of finished motor gasoline PSM STF

MGNIPUS MMBD Net imports of motor gasoline PSM STF

MGPSPUS MMB Stocks of motor gasoline PSM EXO

MGPSPUSA MMB MGPSPUS seasonally adjusted STF STF

MGROPUS MMBD Refinery output of motor gasoline PSM STF

MGWHUUSX CPG Wholesale price of motor gasoline PMM STF

MGYLD FRAC Refinery yield of finished motor gasoline STF STF

MTNIPUS MMBD MTBE net imports PSM EXO

MTPRPUS MMBD Field production of MTBE PSM EXO

MTPSPUS MMB Stocks of MTBE PSM STF

MTTCPUS MMBD Demand for MTBE PSM STF

NGMPPUS BCFD Production of wet marketed natural gas NGM STF

NLPRPUS MMBD Natural gas plant liquid production PSM STF

OHPSPUS MMB Stocks of other hydrocarbons/hydrogen/oxygenates PSM STF

OHRIPUS MMBD Other hydrocarbons and alcohol field production PSM STF

OPFRAC FRAC Oxygenated-reformulated (OPRG) gasoline share of total gasoline demand PSM EXO

ORCAPUS MMBD U.S. operable atmospheric distillation calendar-day capacity PSM ROT

ORUTCUS FRAC Refinery utilization rate, CODIPUS / ORCAPUS PSM STF

OXFRAC FRAC Oxygenated gasoline share of total gasoline demand PSM EXO

OXRIPUS MMBD Refinery inputs of oxygenates PSM STF

OZTCPUS MMBD Total oxygenate demand PSM STF

PAGLPUS MMBD Refinery processing gain PSM STF

PANIPUS MMBD Net imports of petroleum products PSM STF

PAPR48 MMBD Crude oil production, Lower 48 States PSM OOG

PAPRAK MMBD Crude oil productionm Alaska PSM OOG

PARIPUS MMBD Total refinery inputs PSM STF

PAROPUS MMBD Total refinery output PSM STF

PASXPUS MMB Total petroleum stocks (excluding SPR) PSM STF

PATCPUS MMBD Total petroleum product demand PSM STF

PPFPPUS MMBD Field production of pentanes plus PSM STF

PPNIPUS MMBD Net imports of pentanes plus PSM STF

PPNLSUS FRAC Annual average PPFPPUS / NLPRPUS PSM ROT

PPPSPUS MMB Stocks of pentanes plus PSM STF

PPRIPUS MMBD Refinery inputs of pentanes plus PSM STF

PRPSPUS MMB Stocks of propane PSM STF

PSNIPUS MMBD Net imports of "other" petroleum products PSM STF

PSPSPUS MMB Stocks of "other" petroleum products PSM EXO

PSRIPUS MMBD Refinery inputs of "other" petroleum oils PSM STF

PSROPUS MMBD Refinery output of "other" petroleum products PSM STF

PSTCPUS MMBD Demand for "other" petroleum products PSM STF

PSYLD FRAC Refinery yield of "other" petroleum products STF STF

RFNIPUS MMBD Net imports of residual fuel oil PSM STF

RFPSPUS MMB Stocks of residual fuel oil PSM EXO

RFPSPUSA MMBD RFPSPUS seasonally adjusted STF STF

RFFRAC FRAC Reformulated gasoline share of total gasoline demand PSM EXO

RFROPUS MMBD Refinery output of residual fuel oil PSM STF

RFYLD FRAC Refinery yield of residual fuel oil STF STF

RVPI INT = 1 if April - August, 1989 - 1991, 0 otherwise

RVPIW INT = 1 if September 1989 - March 1992 and RVPI=0, 0 otherwise

RVPII INT = 1 if April - August, 1992 - 1994, 0 otherwise

RVPIIW INT = 1 if September 1992 - March 1995 and RVPII=0, 0 otherwise

RVPIII INT = 1 if April - August, 1995 and later years, 0 otherwise

RVPIIIW INT = 1 if September 1995 or later and RVPIII=0, 0 otherwise

TIME INT = 1 to n, where n = number of observation

UONIPUS MMBD Net Import of unfinished oils PSM STF

UOPSPUS MMB Stocks of unfinished oils PSM EXO

UORIPUS MMBD Refinery inputs of unfinished oils PSM STF

WPCPIUS INDX Producer price index, all commodities BLS DRI

ZWHDDUS HDD Heating degree-days, deviation from normal, United States NOAA ROT

ZSAJQUS INT Number of days in month

Units Key

BCFD Billion cubic feet per day

CPG Cents per gallon

FRAC Fraction

HDD Heating-degree days

INDX Index

INT Positive Integer

MMB Million barrels

MMBD Million barrels per day

Source Key

BLS Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review

DRI DRI / McGraw-Hill Macroeconomic Forecast

EXO Exogenously specified forecast values

NGM Energy Information Administration, Natural Gas Monthly, DOE/EIA-0130

NOAA National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Monthly State, Regional and National Heating/Cooling Degree-Days Weighted by Population

OOG Energy Information Administration, Office of Oil and Gas

PMM Energy Information Administration, Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380

PSM Energy Information Administration, Petroleum Supply Monthly, DOE/EIA-0109

ROT "Rule of Thumb" - in the forecast, these variables are assumed to remain constant (e.g., equal to the last available historical data.) For heating degree-days, the forecasts assume normal weather (1965-1999 average with trend).

SPO U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Strategic Petroleum Reserve

STF Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System calculation

Supply Disposition Ending
Stocks

Field
Production Refinery
Production Net
Imports Unaccounted
Crude Oil Crude
Losses Refinery
Inputs Product
Supplied

Crude Oil

Crude Oil COPRPUS CONXPUS COUNPUS COLOPUS CORIPUS COTCPUS COSXPUS

NGLs and LRGs

Pentanes Plus PPFPPUS PPNIPUS PPRIPUS PPTCPUS PPPSPUS

Liquefied Petroleum Gases LGFPPUS LGROPUS LGNIPUS LGRIPUS LGTCPUS LGPSPUS

Other Liquids

Unfinished Oils UONIPUS UORIPUS UOTCPUS UOPSPUS

Avgas Blend Comp. PSNIPUS ABRIPUS ABTCPUS PSPSPUS

Other HC/Oxygenates OHRIPUS PSNIPUS OXRIPUS OHPSPUS

Motor Gasoline Blend Components MBFPPUS PSNIPUS MBRIPUS MBPSPUS

Finished Products

Finished Motor Gasoline MGFPPUS MGROPUS MGNIPUS MGTCPUS MGPSPUS

Jet Fuel JFROPUS JFNIPUS JFTCPUS JFPSPUS

Distillate Fuel DFROPUS DFNIPUS DFTCPUS DFPSPUS

Residual Fuel RFROPUS RFNIPUS RFTCPUS RFPSPUS

Other Petroleum Products PSROPUS PSNIPUS PSTCPUS PSPSPUS

TOTALS PAROPUS PANIPUS PARIPUS PATCPUS PASXPUS

File last modified: August 1, 2000

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Variable Name	Units	Definition	Source
Variable Name	Units	Definition	History	Forecast
ABRIPUS	MMBD	Refinery inputs of aviation gasoline blend components	PSM	ROT
COCQPUS	MMBD	Strategic Petroleum Reserve fill rate from foreign sources	PSM	SPO
CODIPUS	MMBD	Gross inputs to crude distillation units	PSM	STF
CODQPUS	MMBD	Strategic Petroleum Reserve fill rate from domestic sources	PSM	SPO
COLOPUS	MMBD	Crude oil losses	PSM	ROT
CONIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of crude oil (including SPR)	PSM	STF
CONQPUS	MMBD	Strategic Petroleum Reserve net withdrawal rate	PSM	SPO
CONXPUS	MMBD	Net imports of crude oil (excluding SPR)	PSM	STF
COPRPUS	MMBD	Total U.S. crude oil production	PSM	OOG
COQMPUS	MMBD	Strategic Petroleum Reserve Imports	PSM	SPO
CORIPUS	MMBD	Refinery inputs of crude oil	PSM	STF
COSQPUS	MMB	Strategic Petroleum Reserve end-of-month inventory	PSM	STF
COSXPUS	MMB	Stocks of crude oil	PSM	EXO
COTCPUS	MMBD	Demand for unprocessed crude oil	PSM	STF
COUNPUS	MMBD	Unaccounted crude oil	PSM	STF
COWQPUS	MMBD	Strategic Petroleum Reserve withdrawal rate for domestic sale	PSM	SPO
D2WHUUS	CPG	Wholesale price of no. 2 heating oil	PMM	STF
D8912	INT	= 1 if December 1989, 0 otherwise
D9101ON	INT	= 1 if January 1991 or later, 0 otherwise
D9301	INT	= 1 if January 1993, 0 otherwise
D94ON	INT	= 1 if January 1994 or later, 0 otherwise
D98ON	INT	= 1 if January 1998 or later, 0 otherwise
DFNIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of distillate fuel oil	PSM	STF
DFPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of distillate fuel oil	PSM	EXO
DFPSPUSA	MMB	DFPSPUS seasonally adjusted	STF	STF
DFROPUS	MMBD	Refinery output of distillate fuel oil	PSM	STF
DFYLD	FRAC	Refinery yield of distillate fuel oil	STF	STF
DUMYRPP	FRAC	Annual average of PPRIPUS / MGROPUS	STF	ROT
DY9697	INT	= 1 if February 1996 through August 1997, 0 otherwise
EOFPPUS	MMBD	Field production of fuel ethanol	PSM	STF
EONIPUS	MMBD	Fuel ethanol net imports	PSM	ROT
EOPRPUS	MMB	Ethanol plant production	PSM	STF
EOPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of fuel ethanol	PSM	ROT
EOTCPUS	MMBD	Demand for fuel ethanol	PSM	STF
JFNIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of jet fuel	PSM	STF
JFPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of jet fuel	PSM	EXO
JFPSPUSA	MMBD	JFPSPUS seasonally adjusted	STF	STF
JFROPUS	MMBD	Refinery output of jet fuel	PSM	STF
JFYLD	FRAC	Refinery yield of jet fuel	STF	STF
JKTCUUS	CPG	Price of kerosene-based jet fuel	PMM	STF
LGFPPUS	MMBD	Field production of LPGs	PSM	STF
LGNIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of LPGs	PSM	STF
LGPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of LPGs	PSM	EXO
LGRIPUS	MMBD	Refinery inputs of LPGs	PSM	STF
LGROPUS	MMBD	Refinery output of LPGs	PSM	STF
LGYLD	FRAC	Refinery yield of LPGs	STF	STF
MBFPPUS	MMBD	Field production of motor gasoline blend components	PSM	STF
MBPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of motor gasoline blend components	PSM	EXO
MBRIPUS	MMB	Refinery inputs of motor gasoline blend components	PSM	STF
MGFPPUS	MMBD	Field production of finished motor gasoline	PSM	STF
MGNIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of motor gasoline	PSM	STF
MGPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of motor gasoline	PSM	EXO
MGPSPUSA	MMB	MGPSPUS seasonally adjusted	STF	STF
MGROPUS	MMBD	Refinery output of motor gasoline	PSM	STF
MGWHUUSX	CPG	Wholesale price of motor gasoline	PMM	STF
MGYLD	FRAC	Refinery yield of finished motor gasoline	STF	STF
MTNIPUS	MMBD	MTBE net imports	PSM	EXO
MTPRPUS	MMBD	Field production of MTBE	PSM	EXO
MTPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of MTBE	PSM	STF
MTTCPUS	MMBD	Demand for MTBE	PSM	STF
NGMPPUS	BCFD	Production of wet marketed natural gas	NGM	STF
NLPRPUS	MMBD	Natural gas plant liquid production	PSM	STF
OHPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of other hydrocarbons/hydrogen/oxygenates	PSM	STF
OHRIPUS	MMBD	Other hydrocarbons and alcohol field production	PSM	STF
OPFRAC	FRAC	Oxygenated-reformulated (OPRG) gasoline share of total gasoline demand	PSM	EXO
ORCAPUS	MMBD	U.S. operable atmospheric distillation calendar-day capacity	PSM	ROT
ORUTCUS	FRAC	Refinery utilization rate, CODIPUS / ORCAPUS	PSM	STF
OXFRAC	FRAC	Oxygenated gasoline share of total gasoline demand	PSM	EXO
OXRIPUS	MMBD	Refinery inputs of oxygenates	PSM	STF
OZTCPUS	MMBD	Total oxygenate demand	PSM	STF
PAGLPUS	MMBD	Refinery processing gain	PSM	STF
PANIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of petroleum products	PSM	STF
PAPR48	MMBD	Crude oil production, Lower 48 States	PSM	OOG
PAPRAK	MMBD	Crude oil productionm Alaska	PSM	OOG
PARIPUS	MMBD	Total refinery inputs	PSM	STF
PAROPUS	MMBD	Total refinery output	PSM	STF
PASXPUS	MMB	Total petroleum stocks (excluding SPR)	PSM	STF
PATCPUS	MMBD	Total petroleum product demand	PSM	STF
PPFPPUS	MMBD	Field production of pentanes plus	PSM	STF
PPNIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of pentanes plus	PSM	STF
PPNLSUS	FRAC	Annual average PPFPPUS / NLPRPUS	PSM	ROT
PPPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of pentanes plus	PSM	STF
PPRIPUS	MMBD	Refinery inputs of pentanes plus	PSM	STF
PRPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of propane	PSM	STF
PSNIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of "other" petroleum products	PSM	STF
PSPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of "other" petroleum products	PSM	EXO
PSRIPUS	MMBD	Refinery inputs of "other" petroleum oils	PSM	STF
PSROPUS	MMBD	Refinery output of "other" petroleum products	PSM	STF
PSTCPUS	MMBD	Demand for "other" petroleum products	PSM	STF
PSYLD	FRAC	Refinery yield of "other" petroleum products	STF	STF
RFNIPUS	MMBD	Net imports of residual fuel oil	PSM	STF
RFPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of residual fuel oil	PSM	EXO
RFPSPUSA	MMBD	RFPSPUS seasonally adjusted	STF	STF
RFFRAC	FRAC	Reformulated gasoline share of total gasoline demand	PSM	EXO
RFROPUS	MMBD	Refinery output of residual fuel oil	PSM	STF
RFYLD	FRAC	Refinery yield of residual fuel oil	STF	STF
RVPI	INT	= 1 if April - August, 1989 - 1991, 0 otherwise
RVPIW	INT	= 1 if September 1989 - March 1992 and RVPI=0, 0 otherwise
RVPII	INT	= 1 if April - August, 1992 - 1994, 0 otherwise
RVPIIW	INT	= 1 if September 1992 - March 1995 and RVPII=0, 0 otherwise
RVPIII	INT	= 1 if April - August, 1995 and later years, 0 otherwise
RVPIIIW	INT	= 1 if September 1995 or later and RVPIII=0, 0 otherwise
TIME	INT	= 1 to n, where n = number of observation
UONIPUS	MMBD	Net Import of unfinished oils	PSM	STF
UOPSPUS	MMB	Stocks of unfinished oils	PSM	EXO
UORIPUS	MMBD	Refinery inputs of unfinished oils	PSM	STF
WPCPIUS	INDX	Producer price index, all commodities	BLS	DRI
ZWHDDUS	HDD	Heating degree-days, deviation from normal, United States	NOAA	ROT
ZSAJQUS	INT	Number of days in month
Units Key
BCFD	Billion cubic feet per day
CPG	Cents per gallon
FRAC	Fraction
HDD	Heating-degree days
INDX	Index
INT	Positive Integer
MMB	Million barrels
MMBD	Million barrels per day
Source Key
BLS	Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review
DRI	DRI / McGraw-Hill Macroeconomic Forecast
EXO	Exogenously specified forecast values
NGM	Energy Information Administration, Natural Gas Monthly, DOE/EIA-0130
NOAA	National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Monthly State, Regional and National Heating/Cooling Degree-Days Weighted by Population
OOG	Energy Information Administration, Office of Oil and Gas
PMM	Energy Information Administration, Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380
PSM	Energy Information Administration, Petroleum Supply Monthly, DOE/EIA-0109
ROT	"Rule of Thumb" - in the forecast, these variables are assumed to remain constant (e.g., equal to the last available historical data.) For heating degree-days, the forecasts assume normal weather (1965-1999 average with trend).
SPO	U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Strategic Petroleum Reserve
STF	Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System calculation

		Supply				Disposition			Ending Stocks
		Field Production	Refinery Production	Net Imports	Unaccounted Crude Oil	Crude Losses	Refinery Inputs	Product Supplied	Ending Stocks
Crude Oil
	Crude Oil	COPRPUS		CONXPUS	COUNPUS	COLOPUS	CORIPUS	COTCPUS	COSXPUS
NGLs and LRGs
	Pentanes Plus	PPFPPUS		PPNIPUS			PPRIPUS	PPTCPUS	PPPSPUS
	Liquefied Petroleum Gases	LGFPPUS	LGROPUS	LGNIPUS			LGRIPUS	LGTCPUS	LGPSPUS
Other Liquids
	Unfinished Oils			UONIPUS			UORIPUS	UOTCPUS	UOPSPUS
	Avgas Blend Comp.			PSNIPUS			ABRIPUS	ABTCPUS	PSPSPUS
	Other HC/Oxygenates	OHRIPUS		PSNIPUS			OXRIPUS		OHPSPUS
	Motor Gasoline Blend Components	MBFPPUS		PSNIPUS			MBRIPUS		MBPSPUS
Finished Products
	Finished Motor Gasoline	MGFPPUS	MGROPUS	MGNIPUS				MGTCPUS	MGPSPUS
	Jet Fuel		JFROPUS	JFNIPUS				JFTCPUS	JFPSPUS
	Distillate Fuel		DFROPUS	DFNIPUS				DFTCPUS	DFPSPUS
	Residual Fuel		RFROPUS	RFNIPUS				RFTCPUS	RFPSPUS
	Other Petroleum Products		PSROPUS	PSNIPUS				PSTCPUS	PSPSPUS
TOTALS			PAROPUS	PANIPUS			PARIPUS	PATCPUS	PASXPUS