North America
The Energy Picture

prepared by

North American Energy Working Group

June 2002

(7) Background Data and Projections

Table 1A. Canada Energy Supply (1980 – 2010)

Petroleum Production
(Thousand Barrels Per Day)


          1980


          1990


          2000


          2010

Crude Oil

1,539

1,667

2,197

3,083

Conventional Light

1,102

894

832

746

Synthetic

127

208

320

768

Conventional Heavy

193

313

560

496

Bitumen (in situ)

9

135

288

462

Natural Gas Liquids

272

352

552

611

         

Natural Gas Production

       

(Billion Cubic Feet)

2,475

3,494

5,920

7,050

(Billion Cubic Meters)

70

99

168

200

         

Coal Production

       

(Million Short Tons)

40

75

76

72

(Million Metric Tons)

37

68

69

65

         

Electricity Generation*
(Terawatthours)

       

Coal

57

78

102

89

Petroleum

13

15

13

5

Natural Gas

9

10

24

104

Nuclear Power

38

73

73

74

Renewable-hydro

254

296

342

382

Renewable-other

1

2

6

2

Other

-

-

1

-

Total

372

474

563

656

         

Electricity Generation Capacity
(Gigawatts)

       

Coal

NA

19

18

15

Petroleum

NA

7

8

3

Natural Gas

NA

4

6

26

Nuclear Power

NA

13

11

11

Renewable (incl.hydro)

NA

60

69

75

Dual Fired

NA

NA

NA

NA

Total

NA

103

111

130

_________________

*Electricity generation and capacity data for 2000 are not yet available. Data are for 1999.
Source: Statistics Canada.

Table 1B. Mexico Energy Supply (1980 – 2010)

Petroleum Production
(Thousand Barrels Per Day)


          1980


          1990


          2000


          2010

Crude Oil

1,936

2,548

3,012

4,024

Natural Gas Liquids

193

422

438

592

         

Natural Gas Production
(Billion Cubic Feet)


1,299


1,333


1,713


3,184

(Billion Cubic Meters)

37

38

48

90

         

Coal Production
(Million Short Tons)


4


9


16


24

(Million Metric Tons)

4

8

14

22

         

Electricity Generation 1
(Terawatthours)





Coal

-

8

19

20

Petroleum 2

37

67

104

93

Natural Gas 3

7

8

23

164

Nuclear Power

0

3

8

10

Renewable

18

28

39

43

  Hydro

17

23

33

35

  Geothermal 4

1

5

6

8

Total

62

114

193

330

         

Electricity Generating Capacity 1
(Gigawatts)

       

Coal

0

1

3

4

Natural Gas 3

2

3

6

19

Petroleum 2

7

12

14

20

Dual Fired

-

-

2

3

Nuclear

0

1

1

1

Renewable (including hydro)

6

9

11

14

  Hydro

6

8

10

13

  Geothermal 4

0

 1

 1

 1

Total

15

25

37

61

1 Electricity generation and capacity include only the public sector.
2 Petroleum plants use a combination of one or more hydrocarbons.
3 Natural gas electricity generation and capacity include combined cycle gas turbine units.
4 Geothermal electricity generation and capacity include wind power in 2000 and thereafter.
Sources: Pemex, CFE, and Secretaria de Energia.

Table 1C. United States Energy Supply (1980 – 2010)

 

          1980

          1990

          2000

2010 Range 1

Petroleum Production
(Thousands Barrels Per Day)


10,214


8,994


8,110


7,390-7,540

Crude Oil

8,597

7,355

5,822

5,060-5,110

Natural Gas Liquids

1,573

1,559

1,911

2,330-2,430

         

Natural Gas Production
(Bilion Cubic Feet)


19,400


17,810


19,403


22,970-24,050

(Billion Cubic Meters)

549

504

549

631-684

         

Coal Production
(Million Short Tons)


830


1,029


1,074


1,271-1,307

(Million Metric Tons)

753

933

975

1,153-1,186

         

Electricity Generation
(Terawatthours)





Coal

1,162

1,590

1,968

2,234-2,292

Petroleum

246

124

109

36-44

Natural Gas (including supplemental gases)

346

378

612

1,098-1,239

Nuclear Power

251

577

754

737-737

Renewable (including hydro and pumped storage)

282

356

357

434-439

Total

2,286

3,025

3,800

4,552-4,763

         

Total Electricity Generating Capacity
(Gigawatts)

       

Coal

294 2

307

322

312-316

Natural Gas (includes other gases and waste heat)

3

31

97

3

Petroelum

3

57

39

3

Dual Fired

3

134

146

3

Nuclear

52

100

97

94-94

Hydropower (including pumped storage)

82

74

80

81-81

Other Renewable

1

14

17

25-25

Total

579

735

819

957-992

         

1 Forecasts for 2010 are Energy Information Administration projections from low to high cases.
2 Estimated.
3 The capability data for 1980 and 2010 do not have separate information for natural gas only, petroleum only, and dual fired.
Sources: Data for 1980 through 2000: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/EIA-0384(2000) (Washington, DC, August 2001), and Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA- 0035(2001/12) (December 2001). Projections for 2010: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2002, DOE/EIA-0383(2002) (Washington, DC, December 2001).

Table 2A. Canada Energy Demand (1980 – 2010)

 

          1980

          1990

          2000

          2010

Petroleum Demand
(Thousand Barrels Per Day)

       

Liquified Petroleum Gas

108

245

354

333

Motor Gasoline

662

585

659

740

Jet Fuel

79

86

108

137

Distillate Oil

495

401

490

518

Residual Fuel Oil

290

183

148

159

Other Oil

       

Total

1,837

1,527

1,700

1,888

         

Natural Gas Demand

       

(Billion Cubic Feet)

1,973

2,451

3,345

3,939

(Billion Cubic Meters)

56

69

95

112

         

Coal Demand

       

(Million Short Tons)

41

54

67

58

(Million Metric Tons)

37

49

61

53

         

Electricity Demand
(Terawatthours)


339


466


546


623

_________________

Source: Statistics Canada.


Table 2B. Mexico Energy Demand (1980 – 2010)

 

          1980

          1990

          2000

2010 1

Petroleum Demand 1
(Thousand Barrels Per Day)

       

Liquified Petroleum Gas

102

197

330

448

Motor Gasoline

313

443

531

748

Jet Fuel

28

36

56

85

Distillate Oil 2

       

Residual Fuel Oil

242

421

492

199

Other Oil

282

244

319

439

Total

967

1,341

1,728

1,919

         

Natural Gas Demand

       

(Billion Cubic Feet)

901

971

1,579

3,004

(Billion Cubic Meters)

25

27

45

106

         

Coal Demand

       

(Million Short Tons)

6

9

14

30

(Million Metric Tons)

5

8

13

28

         

Electricity Demand 3
(Terawatthours)


52


92


155


265

_________________

1Petroleum demand data include the crude oil processed in refineries of the Sistema Nacional de Refineria (SNR) only. Petroleum demand does not include oils processed at Cangrejera.
2 Data not available.
3Electricity demand includes only the public sector and does not deduct exports.
Sources: Pemex, CFE, and Secretaria de Energia.

Table 2C. United States Energy Demand (1980 – 2010)

 

          1980

          1990

          2000

2010 1

Petroleum Demand
(Thousand Barrels Per Day)

       

Liquified Petroleum Gas

1,469

1,556

2,231

Motor Gasoline

6,579

7,235

8,472

10,120-10,570

Jet Fuel

1,068

1,522

1,725

2,100-2,260

Distillate Oil

2,866

3,021

3,722

4,460-4,780

Residual Fuel Oil

2,508

1,229

909

680-730

Other Oil

2,566

2,425

2,642

 

Total

17,056

16,988

19,701

22,610-24,130

         

Natural Gas Demand

       

(Billion Cubic Feet)

19,877

18,716

22,547

27,370-29,140

(Billion Cubic Meters)

563

530

638

775-825

         

Coal Demand

       

(Million Short Tons)

703

903

1,081

1,235-1,271

(Million Metric Tons)

638

819

981

1,121-1,153

         

Electricity Demand
(Terawatthours)


2,094 2


2,817


3,621


4,084-4,284

_________________

1Forecasts for 2010 are Energy Information Administartion projections from low to high economic growth cases.
2Includes electric utilties only.
Sources: Data for 1980 through 2000: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/EIA-0384(2000) (Washington, DC, August 2001), and Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA- 0035(2001/12) (December 2001). Projections for 2010: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2002, DOE/EIA-0383(2002) (Washington, DC, December 2001).

Table 3A. Canada Economic Data (1980 – 2010)

 

1980

1990

2000

2010

Gross Domestic Product

       

(Billion 1992 Canadian Dollars)

535

705

921

1,158

(Billion 1990 U.S. Dollars)

431

574

749

958

         

Population

       

(Millions)

24.6

27.8

30.8

34

         

Employment

       

(Millions)

NA

11.4

12.1

NA

_________________

Source: Statistics Canada.
Note: 1980 employment data and 2010 projections are not available. Survey for employment for all industries started in 1983. Prior to 1983, a different method for estimating employment data was used, which only included firms with 20 or more employees, and excluded education, health, and service.


Table 3B. Mexico Economic Data (1980 – 2010)

 

1980

1990

2000

2010

Gross Domestic Product

       

(Billion 1992 Mexican Pesos)

949

1,141

1,609

2,041

(Billion 1990 U.S. Dollars)

219

263

371

470

         

Population

       

(Millions)

66.9

81.3

97.4

109

         

Employment

       

(Millions)

NA

30.2

40.3

 

_________________

 

NA Not Available
1Includes people who work at least one hour or one day per week for a monetary remuneration or in kind.
Source: INEGI and Banco de Mexico.


Table 3C. United States Economic Data (1980 – 2010)

 

1980

1990

2000

2010

Gross Domestic Product

       

(Billion 1992 U.S. Dollars)

4,901

6,708

9,224

11,759-13,021

(Billion 1990 U.S. Dollars)

4,240

5,803

7,980

10,171-11,264

         

Population

       

(Millions)

226.5

248.7

281.4

294-306

         

Employment

       

(Millions)

90

109

130

141-151

_________________

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Census and Bureau of Economic Analysis; U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Proceed to (8) Energy Projections — Main Assumptions

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