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  Introduction

Coal Prices, Supplies,
and Demand


Metallurgical Coal and Coke Markets


Coal Futures Markets

References

Tables

Table I. Average Quarterly U.S. Coal Prices

Table II. Prices of Metallurgical Coal and Coke by Disposition

Table III. Average Price of Coal Receipts at Coke Plants by Census Division

Table IV. U.S. Metallurgical Coal Disposition

Table V. Coke Supplies, Blast Furnace Production, and Iron and Steel Imports

Figures

Figure 1. Average Biweekly Spot Coal Prices, 2000-2001

Figure 2. Average Quarterly U.S. Coal Prices

Figure 3. Prices of Metallurgical Coal and Coke by Disposition

Figure 4. Coke Plants and Other Industries Are Minor Factors in Historical and Projected Coal Demand

Figure 5. U.S. Met Coal Exports Plunge as Domestic Demand Holds

Figure 6. Iron and Steel Imports Capture Market Growth

Figure 7. NYMEX Central Appalachian Coal Futures Near-Month Contract Final Settlement Price

Figure 8. Daily Volume Central Appalachian Coal Futures Contracts

U.S. Metallurgical Coal and Coke Supplies–Prices, Availability, and the Emerging Futures Markets

Metallurgical Coal and Coke Markets

In general, coal markets in the United States are understandably attentive to the demands of the electricity generation market. In Figure 4, the recent historical and projected demand for coal at coke plants and for all coal exports is a consistently diminishing quantity according to EIA.5 There are coal companies that supply these two markets, but the overall scale of electricity generation demand (not shown) predominates the current and future total coal demand. As a consequence, the electricity market will continue to take the vast majority of domestic coal production—both of traditional steam coal and of premium, low-sulfur bituminous “compliance coal” that comes largely from traditional met coal mining regions. Because of the quantities of coal and the magnitude of the contracts let, unless domestic met coal consumers succeed in forming more powerful purchasing blocks, electricity generators will continue to win lower prices for their coal deliveries. This applies even to coal qualifying as metallurgical grade.

The retail and general industry sector in Figure 4 includes any coal consumed at blast furnaces and foundries, which could not be shown separately. This sector, though relatively small, is projected to increase slightly after its projected low point in 2001.

The average price of U.S. coke has been increasing over the past 5 years, even as the average price for imported coke has decreased (Figure 3, Table II). This fact would seem to explain any decline in U.S. coke export quantities. For more than 10 years, however, the quantities of coke exports have been so small that gains or losses of one or two contracts are significant, and there are no clear patterns. Presumably, for some users, U.S. coke still offers qualities that match the requirements at their facilities.
D
Figure 3. Prices of Metallurgical Coal and Coke by Disposition
(Dollars per Short Ton)
Figure 3. Prices of Metallurgical Coal and Coke by Disposition
      Note: Prices for coal delivered to coke plants include all transportation; prices for imports include transportation to the port of entry, duties, and insurance costs (customs import value); exports include transportation to the port of departure (free alongside ship value) but not to overseas destination.
      Sources: Energy Information Administration, Quarterly Coal Reports and U.S. Department of Commerce customs reports, EM 545 and IM 145.

Table II. Prices of Metallurgical Coal and Coke by Disposition (Dollars per Short Ton)
Year Quarter U.S. Coal to Coke Plants U.S. Met Coal Exports U.S Coke Exports U.S. Imports of Coke
1995 Q1 $47.19 $43.12 $79.90 $82.60
Q2 $47.57 $43.61 $61.64 $86.56
Q3 $47.02 $45.11 $69.84 $86.22
Q4 $47.56 $44.97 $62.27 $85.02
1996 Q1 $47.45 $46.25 $63.70 $90.60
Q2 $48.39 $45.61 $52.15 $93.79
Q3 $46.02 $44.94 $53.33 $105.70
Q4 $47.33 $44.89 $54.58 $99.51
1997 Q1 $48.16 $46.57 $104.39 $96.41
Q2 $48.24 $45.46 $59.62 $80.04
Q3 $46.71 $44.54 $61.47 $71.44
Q4 $47.40 $44.94 $66.56 $80.44
1998 Q1 $45.79 $45.92 $114.56 $71.18
Q2 $45.84 $44.63 $88.81 $78.07
Q3 $46.43 $43.76 $95.15 $76.65
Q4 $46.17 $43.31 $78.80 $66.20
1999 Q1 $46.56 $44.84 $112.29 $71.62
Q2 $46.37 $41.87 $97.02 $73.09
Q3 $44.92 $40.25 $88.12 $66.20
Q4 $45.57 $40.16 $90.51 $69.59
2000 Q1 $44.45 $40.59 $114.70 $67.37
Q2 $44.39 $38.20 $95.07 $64.26
Q3 $44.39 $39.31 $94.63 $65.93
Q4 $44.30 $37.64 $71.00 $66.35
2001 Q1 $45.29 $39.15 $96.23 $69.22
Q2 $45.65 $39.82 $92.22 $72.47
   Source: Energy Information Administration, Quarterly Coal Report.

Metallurgical Coal and Coke Markets (Continued)