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International Energy
Outlook

2006

World Marketed Energy Consumption by Fuel

In the IEO2006 reference case, world energy consump-tion is projected to increase by 71 percent between 2003 and 2030, rising to 722 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu).

Oil remains the dominant energy source worldwide through 2030, though higher world oil prices in this year’s IEO means that the oil share of total energy use declines from 38 percent in 2003 to 33 percent in 2030, as other fuels replace oil where possible.
Coal use increases by 2.5 percent per year over the projection, while natural gas use grows by 2.4 percent per year.

World Marketed Energy Use: OECD and Non-OECD

This next figure shows the history and projection data for world marketed energy use for the Non-OECD and OECD conutries from 1980 to 2030. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

In the IEO2006, much of the growth in worldwide energy use is projected for the non-OECD economies; energy use in the non-OECD surpasses that of the OECD after 2010.
Much of the growth in energy use among the non-OECD economies occurs in developing Asia (including China and India), where demand nearly triples between 2003 and 2030.

This large table incompasses the reference case world energy consumption by region from 2003 to 2030. For more informatiohn, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

This second table shows the reference case world energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions by fuel from 2003 to 2030. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Transportation Energy Use: OECD and Non-OECD

This third figure is a bar chart showing the transportation energy use by OECD and Non-OECD countries from 2003 to 2030. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Higher world oil prices slow projected demand growth in the transportation sector, which oil continues to dominate.
Transportation energy use expands most quickly in the non-OECD, at 2.3 percent per year between 2003 and 2030, compared to only 0.9 percent per year in the OECD.

World Oil Consumption and Production by Region

This figure is two separate sets of bar charts for world consumption and world production by regions from 2003 to 2030. For consumption, the regions are North America, Non-OECD Asia, and Others. For production, the regions are OPEC (conventional), Non-OPEC (conventional), and Uncoventional. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Despite higher world oil prices, projected world oil demand increases by 48 percent between 2003 and 2030.

OPEC members are expected to provide 15 million barrels per day of the increase; but higher oil prices cause a substantial increase in non-OPEC supplies which rise by 24 million barrels per day, including 8 million barrels per day of unconventional liquids.
Unconventional resources (including oil sands, bitumen, biofuels, coal-to-liquids, and gas-to-liquids) account for about 10 percent of the world’s total liquids supply in 2030.

World Oil Prices in Three Cases

This fifth figure is a line grapgh showing the history and projections data (from 1980 to 2030) for world oil prices in three cases: high price, reference, and low price. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Administration at 202-586-8800.

Reference case world oil prices are 35 percent higher in 2025 than in last year’s outlook, reflecting a reassess-ment of the willingness of oil-rich countries to expand production capa-city as aggressively as previously envisioned.
In the IEO2006 reference case, world oil prices—expressed as the average price of imported low-sulfur, light crude oil to U.S. refiners—rise from $32 per barrel (in 2004 dollars) in 2003 to $57 per barrel in 2030.

World Electricity Generating Capacity by Fuel

This final figure is a bar chart of world electricity generating capacity by fuel from 2003 to 2030 for coal, natural gas, renewables, oil, and nuclear. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

In the IEO2006, worldwide installed generating capacity expands from 3,710 gigawatts in 2003 to 6,349 gigawatts in 2030.
Natural gas and coal are expected to account for nearly 74 percent of the total world increment of electricity generating capacity over the projection period.

Visit the Energy Analysis & Forecasting Web Site at:
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/index.html

For further information, contact:
National Energy Information Center
Washington, DC
Telephone:(202)586-8800
E-Mail: infoctr@eia.doe.gov
Web Site:
www.eia.doe.gov