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Energy Information Administration Brochures

Brochure #: DOE/EIA-X042(2007)
Release Date: July 2007
Next Release Date: July 2008


This is the cover for the International Energy Outlook 2007 brochure
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International Energy
Outlook

2007

 

 

 

World Marketed Energy Use: OECD and Non-OECD

This first figure shows the history and projections from 1980-2030 of the OECD and Non-OECD markets. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586-8800.

 

 

  • In the IEO2007 reference case, world energy consumption is projected to increase by 57 percent between 2004 and 2030, rising to 702 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu).

  • Much of the growth in worldwide energy use is projected for the non-OECD economies; energy use in the non-OECD exceeds that of the OECD by 2010.

  • Non-OECD Asia (including China and India) accounts for half of the world’s increase in marketed energy use in the IEO2007 reference case.

 

World Marketed Energy Use: OECD and Non-OECD

This is a line graph figure showing the history and projections from 1980-2030 for world marketed energy use of liquids, coal, natural gas, renewables, and nuclear by the OECD and Non-OECD markets. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

  • Petroleum and other liquid fuels remain the dominant energy source worldwide through 2030, though relatively high world oil prices in the midterm erode their share of total energy use from 38 percent in 2004 to 34 percent in 2030.

  • Coal is the fastest-growing energy source, increasing by 2.2 percent per year over the projection period.

 

 
 

This large table shows world energy consumption by region, from 2004-2030, for OECD countries and Non-OECD countries. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

This small table shows the breakdown of world energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions by fuel from 2004-2030 for liquids, natural gas, coal, nuclear, and renwables. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

 

Industrial Sector Energy Consumption by RegionThis figure is a vertical bar chart showing the industrial sector energy consumption by OECD and Non-OECD regions, from 2004-2030. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

  • In 2004 the OECD accounted for 44 percent of the world’s industrial sector energy use; that share declines to 33 percent in 2030.

  • Industrial sector energy use— driven by energy intensive industries—expands more rapidly in the non-OECD countries where investors are attracted by lower costs and fewer environmental constraints than in the OECD countries.


 

World Oil Consumption and Production by Region

This figure is also a vertical bar chart depicting world oil consumption and production by region for liquids, nuclear, renewables, natural gas, and coal. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

  • World net electricity generation grows by 85 percent in the IEO2007 reference case, from 16.4 trillion kilowatthours in 2004 to 30.4 trillion kilowatthours in 2030.

  • Coal and natural gas remain the most important fuels for electricity generation through 2030, accounting for 80 percent of the total increase in world generation in the reference case.
 

World Oil Prices in Three Cases

This next figure is a line graph showing the world oil prices in three cases: high price, reference, and low price, with history and projections from 1980-2030. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

  • In the IEO2007 reference case, world oil prices decline from $68 per barrel in 2006 (in real 2005 dollars) to $49 per barrel in 2014, then rise to $59 per barrel in 2030 ($95 per barrel on a nominal basis).

  • High and low world oil price cases define a substantial range of uncertainty. In 2030, prices range from $36 per barrel to $100 per barrel (real 2005 dollars) and the respective liquids demand ranges from 134 million barrels per day to 103 million barrels per day.

World Liquids Production

This last figure in the brochure is a line graph showing world liquids production for Non-OPEC (conventional), OPEC (conventional) and Unconventional, from 2004-2030. For more information, contact: National energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

  • To meet the increment in world liquids demand in the reference case, total supply in 2030 is projected to be 35 million barrels per day higher than the 2004 level of 83 million barrels per day.

  • OPEC conventional production contributes about 21 million barrels per day to the total increase in supply; non-OPEC con- ventional another 6 million barrels per day to the increase.

  • Unconventional resources (including bio-fuels, coal-to-liquids, and gas-to- liquids) are expected to become increasingly competitive and account for 9 percent of total world liquids supply in 2030, on an oil equivalent basis.




Visit the Energy Analysis & Forecasting Web Site at:
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For further information, contact:
National Energy Information Center
Washington, DC
Telephone:(202)586-8800
E-Mail: infoctr@eia.doe.gov
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