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Energy Information Administration Brochures

Release Date: May 2009
Brochure cover for the International Energy Outlook 2009.
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International
Energy
Outlook

2009

 

 

 

World Marketed Energy Use: OECD and Non-OECD

This first figure shows the history and projections from 1980-2030 of the OECD and Non-OECD markets. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586-8800.

  • In the IEO2009 reference case, world marketed energy consumption is projected to increase by 44 percent from 2006 to 2030, reaching 678 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu).

  • Non-OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) economies account for 82 percent of the world growth in energy.

  • Non-OECD Asia (including China and India) account for 59 percent of the world’s increase in projected marketed energy use.


World Energy Use by Fuel

This is a line graph figure showing the history and projections from 1980-2030 for world marketed energy use of liquids(including biofuels), coal, natural gas, renewables(excluding biofuels), and nuclear by the OECD and Non-OECD markets. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

 

  • Petroleum and other liquid fuels remain the primary marketed energy source worldwide through 2030, though high prices cause their share to decline from 36 percent in 2006 to 32 percent in 2030.
  • Renewables are the fastest-growing energy source, increasing by an average of 3 percent per year over the projection period.
  • In the absence of climate change policies that would limit its growth, coal expands by 1.7 percent per year.


 

IEO 2009 Reference Case Energy Consumption by Region, 2006-2030
This large table has data for the IEO 2009 Reference Case Energy Consumption by Region, 2006-2030. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

World Energy Consumption and Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Fuel, 2006-2030

This is a small table showing the world energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions by fuel from 2006-2030. For more information, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.

Note: Totals may not equal sums because of independent rounding.
Source: 2006: Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Energy Annual 2006 (June-December 2008), web
site; www.eia.doe.gov/iea/. Projections: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2009, DOE/EIA-0484(2009) (Washington, DC,
June 2009).

 


Industrial Sector Energy Consumption by Region

This figure is a vertical bar chart showing the industrial sector energy consumption by region for OECD, Non-OECD Asia, and Other Non-OECD from 2006-2030. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.
  • Worldwide, energy-related carbon dioxide emissions are projected to increase from 29 billion metric tons in 2006 to 40.4 billion metric tons in 2030 in the IEO2009 reference case, which assumes current laws and policies.
  • Under current policies, emissions in the developing non-OECD nations are expected to exceed those of the OECD by 77 percent in 2030.
 

Net Renewable Generation

This figure is also a vertical bar chart depicting world net renewable generation for hydroelectric power, wind, and other. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.
  • The renewable share of total world electricity generation is projected to increase from 19 percent in 2006 to 21 percent in 2030. Much of this increase is driven by increases in hydroelectric power and wind power.

  • Most renewable energy growth in the OECD countries comes from nonhydropower sources, especially wind and biomass. In the non-OECD countries, hydroelectric power is the predominant source of renewable energy growth.
 

World Oil Prices in Three Price Cases

This next figure is a line graph showing the world oil prices in three cases: high price, reference, and low price, with history and projections from 1980-2030. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.
  • In the IEO2009 reference case, as the world’s economies recover from the current recession, high world oil prices return and persist through 2030. Oil prices decrease to $61 per barrel in 2009 (in 2007 real dollars) and thereafter rise steadily to $130 per barrel in 2030.
  • High and low world oil price cases reflect the uncertainty associated with price projections. In 2030, prices range from $50 per barrel to $200 per barrel and the correspond-ing use of liquids ranges from 120 million barrels per day to 90 million barrels per day.


World Liquids ProductionThis last figure in the brochure is a line graph showing world liquids production for Non-OPEC conventional, OPEC conventional and Unconventional, from 2000-2030. For more information, contact: National Energy Information Center at 202.586.8800.
  • To meet the increase in world liquids demand in the reference case, total supply in 2030 is projected to be 22 million barrels per day higher than the 2006 level of 85 million barrels per day.
  • OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) conventional production contributes about 8 million barrels per day to the total increase in supply; non-OPEC conventional adds another 3 million barrels per day to the increase.
  • Unconventional resources (including bio-fuels, bitumen, extra-heavy oils, coal-to-liquids, and gas-to-liquids) account for 13 percent of total world liquids supply in 2030.
 

Visit the Energy Analysis & Forecasting Web Site at:
http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/index.html

For further information, contact:
National Energy Information Center
Washington, DC
Telephone:(202)586-8800
E-Mail: infoctr@eia.doe.gov
Web Site:
www.eia.doe.gov